我國上市企業(yè)債務(wù)融資與績效關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究
[Abstract]:As an important branch of the field of finance, corporate finance plays an important role. In this field, researchers at home and abroad have achieved fruitful results. In theory, there are important theories, such as M-M theory, trade-offs theory, optimal order financing theory and agency theory. The first M-M theory is based on very strict assumptions. There are two important conclusions: first, the theory of enterprise value and capital structure is irrelevant, the two is that the more the enterprise is in debt and the greater the value. This is obviously not consistent with the actual situation, so the following researchers have corrected the theory and produced the excellent theoretical results, such as the theory of trade-offs, the theory of optimal order financing and the theory of agent theory. The external research methods are similar, among them, the empirical results of foreign countries are basically consistent with the theoretical prediction, while domestic empirical studies have different conclusions. Here, we have to admit the fact that in western developed market economy countries, enterprises have strong independence, high autonomy, and many large enterprises have a long history of development. It is thought to be the main body of free pursuit of profit, and the real enterprise of our country was born after the reform and opening up, the listed enterprises appeared later, and the development history of the private enterprises was short. In addition, although the state-owned enterprises in our country had basically completed the reform of the shareholding system, they were still subject to the interference of the administrative power and their market independence. Therefore, starting with the relationship between debt financing and enterprise performance, the comparative study of private and state-owned enterprises, by comparing the differences in the economic benefits of their two party debt financing, and the degree of debt financing under different corporate performance, can be used to learn that the ownership property of the enterprise is to the enterprise performance and debt. The influence of business financing relationship, and the relevant countermeasures are put forward, which not only provides a new perspective to study the performance and capital structure of China's enterprises, but also has important practical significance.
In this paper, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis are combined, theoretical analysis and empirical analysis are combined. First, the theory of enterprise finance is introduced. Then 32 enterprises of private and state-owned enterprises before 1997 are selected as research samples, and the relevant variables are calculated and analyzed. The logical structure of the article is divided into five steps:
The first part, introduction, introduces the background, purpose, structure and research of this study.
Method;
The second step is to explain the M-M theory and its amendment theory in the literature part, and provide the theoretical background and theoretical source for this article.
The third step is to identify independent variables, dependent variables, control variables and sample data.
First, determine the measure of enterprise performance to determine the dependent variable. From the point of view of different stakeholders, the enterprise performance has different judgment indicators. This paper determines the shareholders and the two main stakeholders of the creditor. Because the enterprise performance is bound to affect the ability of the enterprise to repay the debt on time, which involves the benefit of the creditor. At the same time, it also affects the value added of the net assets of the enterprise, which involves the interests of the shareholders. The performance index of the enterprise includes the absolute quantity index and the relative quantity index, the absolute index has the market value, the value added value of the market value, the value of equity, the present value of cash flow and the net profit, and the asset return rate, the net asset return rate and the market net ratio on the quantity index. The price earnings ratio and earnings per share. Among them, the absolute value index is to measure the value increment of the enterprise. For different enterprises, there may be the phenomenon that the increment of capital input varies with the same value increment. Even the same enterprise, there may be the same value increment in different period and the different capital input. That is to say, the absolute index neglects the amount of capital that produces economic benefits and has an important defect. In the relative quantity index, in addition to earnings per share, it can overcome this defect, because earnings per share can not reflect the net capital per share corresponding to economic benefits. The other four indicators in the relative index, the price earnings ratio and the price earnings per share index. In addition to the influence of the financial situation, the market net rate is also influenced by the behavior of the investors, the economic situation and the financial market. Therefore, it is not suitable to be used as the performance measurement index of this article, while the net assets yield and the asset yield can be calculated directly through the financial data, and are less influenced by other factors, and can also be used. It reflects the growth potential and investment value of enterprises. Therefore, it is the indicator of corporate performance in this paper.
Secondly, to determine the index of capital structure to determine the independent variable. At present, the more commonly used concepts of capital structure include three: one is the internal proportion of capital, capital stock, surplus stock and undistributed profit; two is the proportion of the main shareholders; the three is the proportion of assets, liabilities and rights and interests. The four premise and research topic proposed by Yu Benwen, select the proportion of assets, liabilities and rights and interests as the measure index of capital structure, the specific index is the asset liability ratio, the short-term debt rate and the long-term debt rate.
Thirdly, the control variable is determined. In this paper, the growth and scale of the enterprise are considered as control variables. The growth rate of the enterprise is measured by the growth rate of the main business of the enterprise, and the scale of the enterprise is measured by the natural value of the total assets of the enterprise.
Finally, we select the sample data of the listed companies in China. This paper selects 235 state-owned enterprises and 91 private enterprises listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen A shares as the research samples, taking the annual panel data of these enterprises from 1997 to 2011 as the data basis of the annual panel data of 15 years. When selecting sample enterprises, there are two important issues involved:
First, it clearly defines private enterprises and state-owned enterprises. According to the listed companies' listed code from small to large, the listed enterprises are used to find the capital data of the enterprise by using the "Tong Shun" stock software to find out the final controller and whether the asset reorganization has occurred in the near future. If the final control of the enterprise is the SASAC or the state-owned enterprise, And the enterprise is not recently reorganized by a private enterprise as a state-owned enterprise, then it is identified as a state-owned enterprise. If the final control of the enterprise is a natural or a private enterprise, and the enterprise is not recently reorganized by a state-owned enterprise to a private enterprise, it is regarded as a private enterprise. In addition, three types of enterprises, that is, financial enterprises, S T enterprises, in the second and third steps, calculate the financial ratios that are zero or nonexistent.
Secondly, the time span of 15 years and the sample size of 235 state-owned enterprises and 91 private enterprises are determined. When the previous literature selects panel data, the span of the longitudinal time T is shorter, most of which are 3 to 5 years, which leads to the unsatisfactory results of data analysis. In addition, the experience at home and abroad shows that a enterprise has developed from initial start to basic maturity. It takes more than 10 years. Therefore, the time span of 15 years is basically a witness to the process of growth from high speed to steady growth. In addition, the sample enterprises selected by this article are all the companies listed in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market, and the samples are selected after screening, whether from the sample size itself or from the industry representative. In terms of sex, it can meet the requirements of empirical research for data volume.
The fourth step is to make an empirical analysis on the basis of the third step. First, the linear model is used to analyze the relationship between the independent variable and the dependent variable; and then the conclusion of the literature before the sample data exists: the enterprise performance and the asset liability in the coordinate system which takes the asset liability ratio as the horizontal axis and the enterprise performance as the longitudinal axis. The two curve relationship exists in the inverted U shape. The specific analysis methods and steps are as follows: first, according to the three basic models of panel data, the regression analysis is carried out by the individual random effect model, and the model is determined by Hausman test. The results show that all models should adopt the individual random effect model: then, needles The T test of each independent variable is carried out, and the whole model is tested by F to determine whether or not the significance test is passed. At the same time, by examining the DW value to determine whether the model exists the autocorrelation problem of the random disturbance, if there is this problem, the difference is introduced to analyze the autocorrelation of the model, and again, the unit root test of the panel data is carried out. And co integration test to determine the stability of each variable and the relationship between variables. In addition, in the empirical process, we should consider the number of decisive lines. Only when the numbers are relatively large, it is considered that there is a certain relationship between the variables so as to ensure the strength of the goodness of fitting and the explanation of the variable.
The fifth step is to draw a conclusion. There are four main conclusions in this paper.
First, there is no two degree relationship between the performance of enterprises and the level of assets and liabilities of private enterprises and state-owned enterprises.
The two is that the ownership property of the enterprise has a great influence on the relationship between the debt financing and the performance of the enterprise. Only the asset return of the private enterprise has a linear relationship with the overall debt level, the short-term debt and the long-term liabilities. The relationship between the debt financing and the enterprise performance is manifested in the overall debt. On the other hand, the debt of the previous period has a positive impact on the performance of this period. The liabilities of this period have a negative impact on the performance of the enterprise. From the term structure of debt, it is biased towards short-term liabilities, and its debt financing not only improves the performance of the enterprise, but also is restricted by the performance of the enterprise, while the short-term liabilities and long term liabilities of the private enterprises in the same period. Liabilities have the same influence on enterprise performance in the same direction, but long-term liabilities have greater impact on enterprise performance; while state-owned enterprises are biased towards long-term liabilities, their debt financing does not effectively improve enterprise performance, and the scale of debt financing has not been strongly restricted by corporate performance.
Three, there is no linear relationship between the net assets yield and the debt level of enterprises.
Four, corporate liabilities in the current period have a negative impact on corporate performance, and liabilities in the previous period have a positive impact on corporate performance.
The main contributions of this paper are: first, in terms of the data used in the empirical study, this paper adopts the panel data of all A shares of eligible A shares for a long time, and the data are relatively new and the results are more convincing. Second, the comparison of two different ownership enterprises of private enterprises and state-owned enterprises is carried out. The effect of ownership on the scale of corporate debt financing and the term structure of debt is presented. From another point of view, the problem of "financing soft constraints" in state-owned enterprises is found. Third, this paper shows a fact that debt is a burden to enterprises in the short term and is conducive to improving enterprise performance in the long run.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F832.51;F275;F272.5
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