金融泡沫的形成機制及測控體系研究
本文選題:金融泡沫 切入點:金融泡沫形成機制 出處:《首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文
【摘要】:貨幣的出現(xiàn)和貨幣制度的形成為金融泡沫植下了形成的種子,而在微觀經(jīng)濟因素和宏觀經(jīng)濟因素的共同作用和人們的心理預(yù)期以及各種其他因素的共同作用下,泡沫開始形成并且在正反饋和人們的心理預(yù)期的作用下不斷運動,使泡沫不斷發(fā)展直至泡沫破裂。在人類社會有歷史記錄以來,金融泡沫一直是伴隨著人類經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展的,,人類通過經(jīng)濟社會的發(fā)展,對金融泡沫的認識也在不斷加深,但金融泡沫卻仍舊不定期的形成和破裂,并對人類社會造成或大或小的影響。 這些年隨著我國經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展,人民生活水平的提高,以及世界經(jīng)濟一體化的進程進一步的加快,使我們看到,一個地區(qū)、一個國家越來越不能單單的僅以本國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展為重點,而不顧其他因素的一門心思只以GDP為發(fā)展目標的進行粗狂性的發(fā)展,因為任何國家的競爭不單單只是GDP的競爭,還包括著多方面的競爭,包括資源和文化方面,因此,我們往往只是從最基本的GDP來入手,而在發(fā)展中卻忽視了相配套的很多其他部分,這就極易導(dǎo)致經(jīng)濟出現(xiàn)過熱,資源跟不上經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的步伐,從而導(dǎo)致金融泡沫進而導(dǎo)致經(jīng)濟危機的產(chǎn)生。為了防止本國金融危機的產(chǎn)生,金融泡沫的預(yù)警和監(jiān)測必不可少,本文試圖從金融泡沫的歷史案例入手,在理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上試圖找出金融泡沫形成的原因,并通過對金融泡沫的原動力、載體、助推器的分析得出金融泡沫的形成機制同時初步對金融泡沫測控機制進行分析研究,從而以期得出一些對金融泡沫有益的認識。
[Abstract]:The emergence of money and the formation of monetary system planted the seeds for the formation of financial bubble, and under the joint action of microeconomic and macroeconomic factors and people's psychological expectations and various other factors, Bubbles begin to form and move under the influence of positive feedback and people's psychological expectations, so that bubbles continue to develop until they burst. Since the history of human society, the financial bubble has been accompanied by the development of human economy and society. Through the development of economy and society, the understanding of financial bubble is deepening, but the financial bubble is still formed and burst, and it has a great or small influence on human society. With the development of China's economy, the improvement of people's living standards, and the further acceleration of the process of world economic integration, we have seen that a region, More and more, a country cannot focus solely on its own economic development, but regardless of other factors, it can only develop with GDP as its development goal, because the competition of any country is not just the competition of GDP. There is also competition in a variety of ways, including resources and culture, so we tend to start with the most basic GDP, but in development we ignore many other parts of the mix, which can easily lead to overheating. Resources fail to keep pace with economic development, which leads to financial bubbles that lead to economic crises. In order to prevent the emergence of financial crises in our country, early warning and monitoring of financial bubbles are essential. Based on the theoretical analysis, this paper tries to find out the causes of the financial bubble, and through the analysis of the driving force of the financial bubble, the carrier of the financial bubble. The analysis of booster shows that the formation mechanism of financial bubble and the measurement and control mechanism of financial bubble are analyzed and studied preliminarily in order to obtain some beneficial understanding of financial bubble.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F831.5;F224
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