美國(guó)加息預(yù)示大宗商品價(jià)格將迎來(lái)新一輪牛市
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-10 11:32
本文選題:商品價(jià)格 切入點(diǎn):量化寬松政策 出處:《價(jià)格理論與實(shí)踐》2014年07期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:正最近的經(jīng)濟(jì)信息顯示,美國(guó)在2014年第二季度經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)成長(zhǎng)反彈,7月底美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)認(rèn)為通脹持續(xù)低于2%的可能性已經(jīng)有所降低,使人們對(duì)美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)加息預(yù)期加強(qiáng)。美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)自2008年執(zhí)行四次量化寬松政策以來(lái),貨幣刺激作用效果明顯,美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇不斷加強(qiáng),經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)表現(xiàn)強(qiáng)勁(如表1所示),美國(guó)7月ISM非制造業(yè)指數(shù)達(dá)到58.7,創(chuàng)近四年新高;6月非農(nóng)就業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)驚艷全球,單月新增就業(yè)28.8萬(wàn)人,同時(shí)失業(yè)率降至6.1%,創(chuàng)下近六年
[Abstract]:Recent economic information shows that U.S. economic activity rebounded in in the second quarter of 2014 and that the Fed's chances of maintaining inflation below 2% at the end of July have been reduced. This has strengthened expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates. Since the Fed implemented four times of quantitative easing in 2008, the effect of monetary stimulus has been evident, and the US economic recovery has been strengthening. Economic data is strong (as table 1 shows, the ISM non-manufacturing index in the United States reached a nearly four-year high of 58.7 on July; the June non-farm employment data surprised the world with 288,000 new jobs per month, while the unemployment rate fell to 6.1, a record high of nearly six years)
【作者單位】: 中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;
【分類號(hào)】:F827.12;F831.53
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