【摘要】：長期以來,我國煤炭豐裕省份的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)具有突出的煤炭產(chǎn)業(yè)主導(dǎo)特征,煤炭價格變動對煤炭豐裕省份的產(chǎn)業(yè)布局有著引導(dǎo)作用。自2012年以來,我國煤炭價格呈現(xiàn)波動下滑趨勢,煤炭豐裕省份亟需降低對煤炭產(chǎn)業(yè)的依賴,并加速進行產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級以實現(xiàn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。為此,本文采用Corden和Neary的三部門模型,實證分析了煤價波動對我國煤炭資源豐裕省份產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演化的影響機制。結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn),長時期內(nèi)煤炭產(chǎn)業(yè)對其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的資本、科技創(chuàng)新和勞動力要素具有顯著的擠出效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:For a long time, the industrial structure of the coal provinces in China has the dominant characteristics of the coal industry, and the change of the coal price plays a leading role in the industrial layout of the provinces with abundant coal. Since 2012, China's coal prices have been fluctuating and declining, and the provinces with abundant coal need to reduce their dependence on coal industry and accelerate the industrial transformation and upgrading in order to realize the sustainable development of regional economy. Therefore, by using the three-sector model of Corden and Neary, this paper empirically analyzes the influence mechanism of coal price fluctuation on the industrial structure evolution of the provinces with abundant coal resources in China. The results show that the coal industry has a significant crowding out effect on the capital, scientific and technological innovation and labor factors of other industries in a long period of time.
【作者單位】： 西北政法大學(xué)經(jīng)濟學(xué)院;
【基金】：西北政法大學(xué)青年學(xué)術(shù)創(chuàng)新團隊計劃資助
【分類號】：F426.21

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