【摘要】：作為不可再生的資源,稀有礦產(chǎn)在戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)中有著廣泛而重要的用途。近年來(lái),全球稀有礦產(chǎn)品供求關(guān)系趨緊,稀有礦產(chǎn)領(lǐng)域的國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)不斷升級(jí)。在對(duì)六大類22種稀有礦產(chǎn)資源進(jìn)行界定,分析其在戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)中應(yīng)用的基礎(chǔ)上,本文采用三因素分析框架,從供應(yīng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、環(huán)境影響、供應(yīng)受限的經(jīng)濟(jì)影響三個(gè)維度,設(shè)計(jì)了9項(xiàng)指標(biāo),對(duì)稀有礦產(chǎn)資源的戰(zhàn)略性做出定量評(píng)估。結(jié)果顯示,鉑族金屬的戰(zhàn)略性最高,銫的戰(zhàn)略性最低。為進(jìn)一步提高評(píng)估結(jié)果的可靠性,本文運(yùn)用蒙特卡洛模擬進(jìn)行不確定性分析。模擬結(jié)果表明,在考慮了分項(xiàng)指標(biāo)估算結(jié)果的影響之后。本文對(duì)22種稀有礦產(chǎn)資源戰(zhàn)略性的評(píng)估結(jié)果依然成立。鑒于稀有礦產(chǎn)資源在戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)中日益增強(qiáng)的重要性,應(yīng)盡快制定實(shí)施稀有礦產(chǎn)資源的國(guó)家戰(zhàn)略,著力提升戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)鍵原材料保障能力,實(shí)現(xiàn)稀有礦產(chǎn)可持續(xù)開(kāi)發(fā)利用,維護(hù)國(guó)家資源安全。
[Abstract]:As a non-renewable resource, rare minerals have a wide range of important applications in strategic emerging industries. In recent years, the supply and demand of rare mineral products in the world have become more and more tight, and the international competition in the field of rare minerals has been escalating. On the basis of defining 22 kinds of rare mineral resources in six categories and analyzing their application in strategic emerging industries, this paper adopts a three-factor analysis framework, which includes three dimensions: supply risk, environmental impact, and economic impact of limited supply. Nine indexes were designed to quantitatively evaluate the strategy of rare mineral resources. The results show that platinum group metal is the most strategic and cesium is the lowest. In order to further improve the reliability of the evaluation results, the Monte Carlo simulation is used to carry out uncertainty analysis. The simulation results show that, after taking into account the impact of the estimated results of the sub-indicators. The results of strategic evaluation of 22 kinds of rare mineral resources are still valid in this paper. In view of the increasing importance of rare mineral resources in strategic emerging industries, it is necessary to formulate a national strategy for the implementation of rare mineral resources as soon as possible and focus on enhancing the ability of key raw materials for strategic emerging industries, To realize the sustainable development and utilization of rare minerals and maintain the security of national resources.
【作者單位】： 中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所;
【基金】：中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院創(chuàng)新工程項(xiàng)目“稀有礦產(chǎn)資源的國(guó)家戰(zhàn)略研究”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào)SKGJCX2013—04) 國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金重大項(xiàng)目“金屬礦產(chǎn)資源國(guó)際市場(chǎng)價(jià)格操縱問(wèn)題與我國(guó)定價(jià)權(quán)研究”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào)13&ZD169) 國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金青年項(xiàng)目“能源和水資源消耗總量約束下的中國(guó)重化工業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的動(dòng)態(tài)CGE模型與政策研究”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào)71203232)
【分類號(hào)】：F416.1;F276.44

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本文編號(hào)：2237313