【摘要】：日本家電行業(yè)曾經(jīng)是日本的明星行業(yè),近年來家電行業(yè)國際競爭力逐漸降低,家電企業(yè)虧損嚴(yán)重,同時,2008年以來,日元有效匯率已經(jīng)累計升值30%。日元升值對日本家電行業(yè)衰退存在怎樣的影響呢?在出口方面,本文利用2007—2012的月度數(shù)據(jù),通過回歸得到日元每升值1%,會使4個月后的日本家電出口減少1.43%。日元升值對出口的減少效應(yīng)會被傳導(dǎo)給家電廠商,對其利潤造成更大程度的影響。但是本文通過構(gòu)建"跨國公司的三國生產(chǎn)模型"證明,日本家電企業(yè)在海外建立的碎片化生產(chǎn)網(wǎng)絡(luò),已經(jīng)在很大程度上減弱了匯率波動對利潤的不利影響。因此,如果沒有這種跨國性的生產(chǎn)活動,日本家電企業(yè)將難抵御匯率波動的風(fēng)險,這對當(dāng)今我國家電行業(yè)的國際化戰(zhàn)略具有重要的借鑒意義。
[Abstract]:Japanese household electrical appliances industry was once a star industry in Japan. In recent years, the international competitiveness of home appliance industry has gradually decreased, and the loss of home appliance enterprises has been serious. At the same time, since 2008, the effective exchange rate of the yen has risen by 30 percent. What is the impact of the yen's appreciation on the recession in Japan's home appliance industry? On the export side, this paper uses the monthly data from 2007-2012 to get a rise in the yen by 1, which will reduce the export of Japanese household appliances by 1.43 after four months. The weaker effect of yen appreciation on exports will be transmitted to home appliance manufacturers, which will have a greater impact on their profits. However, the paper proves that the fragmented production network set up by Japanese household appliance enterprises overseas has greatly weakened the adverse effect of exchange rate fluctuations on profits through the construction of the "three countries production Model of multinational corporations". Therefore, without this kind of transnational production activities, Japanese household appliance enterprises will find it difficult to resist the risk of exchange rate fluctuations, which has an important reference significance for the internationalization strategy of China's household appliance industry.
【作者單位】： 山東大學(xué);
【基金】：國家社會科學(xué)基金項目“我國對外直接投資的產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇戰(zhàn)略與政策研究”(11BJY010) 中國博士后科學(xué)基金資助項目“國際直接投資對母國的產(chǎn)業(yè)傳導(dǎo)機理與傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng)研究”(2011M500702) 山東大學(xué)自主創(chuàng)新基金重點項目“中國企業(yè)對外直接投資的績效研究”(IFW12104)、山東大學(xué)自主創(chuàng)新基金人文社科青年團隊項目“對外直接投資對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與外貿(mào)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的作用研究”(IFYT14019)資助
【分類號】：F416.63
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本文編號：2177941