基于蒙特卡羅模型的供電企業(yè)財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究
本文選題:供電企業(yè) 切入點(diǎn):蒙特卡羅 出處:《華北電力大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:供電企業(yè)具有自身的特殊性,而且電力工業(yè)關(guān)乎國(guó)計(jì)民生,國(guó)家在推進(jìn)電力行業(yè)改革過(guò)程中慎之又慎,致使電力行業(yè)市場(chǎng)化進(jìn)程緩慢,供電企業(yè)尚未實(shí)現(xiàn)自主經(jīng)營(yíng)。這種特有的經(jīng)營(yíng)環(huán)境使得供電企業(yè)面臨著一系列的財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn),如不加以合理控制將嚴(yán)重危及電網(wǎng)公司的正常運(yùn)行,并最終影響社會(huì)生產(chǎn)和居民生活。然而,我國(guó)學(xué)者對(duì)電網(wǎng)公司財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的研究不是很全面、深入、系統(tǒng),大多是借鑒一般企業(yè)財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的研究成果,結(jié)合電網(wǎng)公司特點(diǎn)的研究不是很多,,因此,結(jié)合供電企業(yè)特殊性,對(duì)其進(jìn)行有效地財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理,具有重要的理論意義和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文首先從財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)最基本的概念入手,結(jié)合供電企業(yè)特殊性,分析了供電企業(yè)財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的特點(diǎn)及內(nèi)容,并提出供電企業(yè)財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的內(nèi)容,在此基礎(chǔ)上,闡述了財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的相關(guān)理論,為以后的研究奠定理論基礎(chǔ)。其次,根據(jù)供電企業(yè)財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的特點(diǎn),并結(jié)合對(duì)某供電公司公司的調(diào)研結(jié)果,對(duì)供電公司公司購(gòu)售電風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、電力投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、電費(fèi)回收風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等主要的財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的表現(xiàn)進(jìn)行分析。再次,基于對(duì)供電公司財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的識(shí)別分析,探討了供電公司購(gòu)售電風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、電力投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、電費(fèi)回收風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等主要財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制的思路、評(píng)價(jià)模型、方法及控制措施。最后,建立電網(wǎng)公司財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制體系,為供電公司財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理提供制度機(jī)制保障。 本文旨在研究電網(wǎng)公司主要財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的識(shí)別、分析與控制,并建立供電企業(yè)財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制體系,為供電企業(yè)進(jìn)行財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理提供理論與實(shí)踐指導(dǎo)。
[Abstract]:Power supply enterprises have their own particularity, and the power industry is related to the national economy and people's livelihood. The state is extremely cautious in the process of promoting the reform of the power industry, which results in the slow process of the power industry marketization, and the power supply enterprises have not yet realized their own operation.This special operating environment makes power supply enterprises face a series of financial risks, if not properly controlled, it will seriously endanger the normal operation of power grid companies, and ultimately affect social production and residents' lives.Combining with the particularity of power supply enterprises, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to manage the financial risks effectively.This paper begins with the most basic concept of financial risk, combining with the particularity of power supply enterprise, analyzes the characteristics and contents of financial risk of power supply enterprise, and puts forward the content of financial risk management of power supply enterprise.Elaborated the financial risk management related theory, laid the theoretical foundation for the future research.Secondly, according to the characteristics of the financial risk of the power supply company and the results of the investigation on a power supply company, the risk of power purchase and sale and the risk of electric power investment are given to the power supply company.Electricity recovery risk and other major financial risk performance analysis.Thirdly, based on the identification and analysis of the financial risk of the power supply company, this paper discusses the main financial risk control ideas, evaluation model, methods and control measures of the power supply company's purchase and sale risk, the power investment risk risk, the electricity charge recovery risk and so on.Finally, the financial risk control system of power grid company is established to provide the system mechanism for the financial risk management of power supply company.The purpose of this paper is to study the identification, analysis and control of major financial risks in power grid companies, and to establish a financial risk control system for power supply enterprises, which provides theoretical and practical guidance for power supply enterprises to manage financial risks.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F275;F426.61
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