廣東生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與裝備制造業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展實(shí)證研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞:廣東生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與裝備制造業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展實(shí)證研究 出處:《華南理工大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè) 裝備制造業(yè) 產(chǎn)業(yè)互動(dòng) 投入產(chǎn)出分析 VAR模型
【摘要】:改革開放以來,廣東經(jīng)濟(jì)快速增長,產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)初見成效,已全面進(jìn)入經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展轉(zhuǎn)型期。作為廣東戰(zhàn)略性產(chǎn)業(yè)的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)和裝備制造業(yè),其發(fā)展水平對(duì)促進(jìn)廣東經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)變、現(xiàn)代產(chǎn)業(yè)體系構(gòu)建和產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競爭力提高都具有重大的影響。同時(shí)制造業(yè)是生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)逐漸發(fā)展壯大的有力支撐,裝備制造業(yè)是制造業(yè)的先進(jìn)部門,對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)中技術(shù)和知識(shí)密集行業(yè)的發(fā)展有著較大的推動(dòng)作用。而生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)不僅作為中間投入在滿足裝備制造業(yè)發(fā)展需求,而且能加快裝備制造業(yè)的優(yōu)化升級(jí)進(jìn)程,兩個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)之間出現(xiàn)顯著互動(dòng)和融合趨勢(shì)。因此,研究廣東生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)和裝備制造業(yè)的互動(dòng)關(guān)系有著重要的意義。 本文首先從社會(huì)分工、交易成本、產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)、價(jià)值鏈理論對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)互動(dòng)進(jìn)行理論分析,同時(shí),分析不同互動(dòng)發(fā)展階段兩個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的關(guān)系,敘述了國內(nèi)外研究生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)和制造業(yè)互動(dòng)的主要文獻(xiàn),總結(jié)了目前關(guān)于產(chǎn)業(yè)互動(dòng)實(shí)證結(jié)論;其次,分析廣東生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與裝備制造業(yè)現(xiàn)狀,為證明生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與裝備制造業(yè)存在互動(dòng)提供現(xiàn)實(shí)依據(jù);再次,實(shí)證分析廣東生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與裝備制造的互動(dòng)關(guān)系。在2002年、2007年《廣東投入產(chǎn)出表》的基礎(chǔ)上用投入產(chǎn)出分析法,分析短期靜態(tài)產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的互動(dòng)關(guān)系和產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部各行業(yè)之間的互動(dòng)基本情況;在此基礎(chǔ)上,再利用1994-2012年的廣東生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與裝備制造業(yè)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù),建立VAR模型,通過格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)、脈沖響應(yīng)分析和方差分解,分析長期動(dòng)態(tài)產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的互動(dòng)關(guān)系和趨勢(shì),了解相互影響程度。實(shí)證結(jié)果顯示:廣東生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與裝備制造業(yè)之間存在互動(dòng)關(guān)系,,并且互動(dòng)處于萌芽和起步階段,但長期來看兩個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)之間互動(dòng)程度存在不斷加深的趨勢(shì)。裝備制造業(yè)對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的需求拉動(dòng)作用大于生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)對(duì)裝備制造業(yè)的供給推動(dòng)作用。最后,將研究結(jié)論與其他現(xiàn)有結(jié)論進(jìn)行比較分析,并有針對(duì)性地提出促進(jìn)廣東生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與裝備制造業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Guangdong has witnessed rapid economic growth and industrial upgrading, and has entered the transition period of economic and social development. As a strategic industry in Guangdong, producer services and equipment manufacturing industries have been developed. Its level of development has a great impact on the transformation of Guangdong's economic development mode, the construction of modern industrial system and the improvement of industrial international competitiveness. At the same time, the manufacturing industry is the strong support for the gradual development and growth of producer services. The equipment manufacturing industry is the advanced department of the manufacturing industry. It plays an important role in promoting the development of technology and knowledge-intensive industries in producer services, and producer services are not only used as intermediate inputs to meet the development needs of equipment manufacturing industry. Moreover, it can speed up the process of optimization and upgrading of equipment manufacturing industry, and there is a significant interaction and fusion trend between the two industries. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the interactive relationship between producer service industry and equipment manufacturing industry in Guangdong. Firstly, this paper analyzes the relationship between the two industries from the social division of labor, transaction costs, industrial linkages, value chain theory, and the relationship between the two industries at different stages of interactive development. The main literatures on the interaction between producer services and manufacturing industry at home and abroad are described, and the empirical conclusions about industrial interaction are summarized. Secondly, it analyzes the present situation of producer service industry and equipment manufacturing industry in Guangdong province, and provides a realistic basis for proving the interaction between producer service industry and equipment manufacturing industry. Thirdly, empirical analysis of the interaction between producer services and equipment manufacturing in Guangdong. In 2002, 2007, on the basis of the "Guangdong input-output table" using input-output analysis. Analyze the interaction between the short-term static industry and the basic situation of the interaction between the industries within the industry; On this basis, using the statistical data of Guangdong producer services and equipment manufacturing industry from 1994 to 2012, the VAR model is established, and the Granger causality test, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition are adopted. This paper analyzes the interaction and trend between the long-term dynamic industries and understands the degree of mutual influence. The empirical results show that there is an interactive relationship between producer services and equipment manufacturing industry in Guangdong. And interaction is in its infancy and infancy. But in the long run, there is a tendency to deepen the interaction between the two industries. The demand pull effect of equipment manufacturing industry is greater than the supply promotion role of producer service industry. Finally. This paper compares the conclusions with other existing conclusions and puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the interactive development of producer service industry and equipment manufacturing industry in Guangdong.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華南理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F426.4;F719
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