人民幣國際化的收益與成本分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-11-11 14:13
【摘要】：在過去的幾十年中，中國快速增加的經(jīng)濟(jì)水平以及其與世界其他國家經(jīng)濟(jì)交流合作的不斷深入，已經(jīng)使得中國的國際地位有了很大的提升。早在98年至97年的亞洲金融危機(jī)期間，在周邊其他國家貨幣不斷貶值的時(shí)候，中國就因?yàn)槠鋵θ嗣駧艓胖档姆�(wěn)定做出的努力而給其他國家留下了一個(gè)負(fù)責(zé)任的大國的形象。而如今，中國不僅僅是世界第三大經(jīng)濟(jì)體、第二大貿(mào)易國，也是全球外匯儲備總量最多的國家。中國再也不是全球經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行的旁觀者，而是置身其中，其貨幣對于世界其他國家的影響也越來越大了。當(dāng)下，有關(guān)人民幣國際化的一切也成為了中國決策層和理論界關(guān)注的熱點(diǎn)。 文章伊始，筆者將會收集關(guān)于人民幣國際化的文獻(xiàn)，，尤其是有關(guān)人民幣國際化收益與成本的文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行綜述。至今為止，對于貨幣國際化的收益與成本的研究與分析，學(xué)者們已經(jīng)有了比較的系統(tǒng)的方法和理論，其各自研究得出的觀點(diǎn)與結(jié)論也不盡相同。 總結(jié)完前人的研究成果之后，文章將結(jié)合中國當(dāng)前的經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境，探討什么是貨幣國際化、貨幣國際化的條件以及人民幣國際化的程度等問題。為下文闡述人民幣國際化的成本與收益作鋪墊。 然后，文章將結(jié)合我國的實(shí)際情形，收集國內(nèi)的數(shù)據(jù)，結(jié)合前人的各種理論，分別從收益與成本的角度對人民幣國際化的問題進(jìn)行理論與數(shù)量上的研究。關(guān)于人民幣國際化收益部分，鑄幣稅的收益分析將成為重點(diǎn)，結(jié)合實(shí)證分析，文章將不僅將從數(shù)量上估算出人民幣國際鑄幣稅的收益，還要對其變化進(jìn)行剖析。而有關(guān)人民幣國際化成本部分，則會更關(guān)注國內(nèi)的貨幣替代風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，通過實(shí)證分析文章將研究貨幣替代現(xiàn)象在中國的現(xiàn)狀，并分析影響中國貨幣替代現(xiàn)象各種因素對其影響的程度。 最后，基于全文的分析和我國現(xiàn)實(shí)國情，作者將會對人民幣國際化的程度、收益與成本以及人民幣國際化的路徑得出幾點(diǎn)總結(jié)。除此之外，文章還將會根據(jù)人民幣國際化收益和成本的理論和實(shí)證分析，對于如何促進(jìn)人民幣國際化的進(jìn)程給出相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:In the past few decades, China's rapidly increasing economic level and the deepening of its economic exchanges and cooperation with the rest of the world have greatly enhanced China's international status. As early as 1998 and 1997, during the Asian financial crisis, as the currencies of other neighboring countries depreciated, China left the image of a responsible big country to other countries because of its efforts to stabilize the value of the renminbi. Today, China is not only the world's third largest economy, the second largest trading nation, but also the world's largest foreign exchange reserves. China is no longer a bystander to the functioning of the global economy. It is in it, and its currency is having a growing impact on the rest of the world. At present, all about RMB internationalization has become the focus of Chinese policy-making and theoretical circles. At the beginning of the article, the author will collect the literature about RMB internationalization, especially the literature about RMB internationalization income and cost. Up to now, there have been systematic methods and theories for the study and analysis of the income and cost of currency internationalization, and their respective viewpoints and conclusions are different. After summing up the previous research results, the article will discuss what is currency internationalization, the condition of currency internationalization and the degree of RMB internationalization, combining with the current economic environment of China. For the following expounding the RMB internationalization costs and benefits to pave the way. Then, the article will combine our country's actual situation, collect the domestic data, combine all kinds of theories of predecessors, separately carry on the theoretical and quantitative research on RMB internationalization from the angle of income and cost. On the part of RMB internationalization income, the analysis of seigniorage income will become the key point. Combining with the empirical analysis, the paper will not only estimate the RMB international seigniorage income from the quantity, but also analyze the change of RMB international seigniorage tax. On the part of RMB internationalization cost, it will pay more attention to the risk of currency substitution in China. Through empirical analysis, the paper will study the current situation of currency substitution in China. It also analyzes the influence of various factors on Chinese currency substitution. Finally, based on the analysis of the full text and the reality of our country, the author will summarize the degree of RMB internationalization, the benefits and costs, and the path of RMB internationalization. In addition, based on the theoretical and empirical analysis of the RMB internationalization benefits and costs, the paper gives some policy recommendations on how to promote the RMB internationalization process.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F832.6
本文編號：2325071
[Abstract]:In the past few decades, China's rapidly increasing economic level and the deepening of its economic exchanges and cooperation with the rest of the world have greatly enhanced China's international status. As early as 1998 and 1997, during the Asian financial crisis, as the currencies of other neighboring countries depreciated, China left the image of a responsible big country to other countries because of its efforts to stabilize the value of the renminbi. Today, China is not only the world's third largest economy, the second largest trading nation, but also the world's largest foreign exchange reserves. China is no longer a bystander to the functioning of the global economy. It is in it, and its currency is having a growing impact on the rest of the world. At present, all about RMB internationalization has become the focus of Chinese policy-making and theoretical circles. At the beginning of the article, the author will collect the literature about RMB internationalization, especially the literature about RMB internationalization income and cost. Up to now, there have been systematic methods and theories for the study and analysis of the income and cost of currency internationalization, and their respective viewpoints and conclusions are different. After summing up the previous research results, the article will discuss what is currency internationalization, the condition of currency internationalization and the degree of RMB internationalization, combining with the current economic environment of China. For the following expounding the RMB internationalization costs and benefits to pave the way. Then, the article will combine our country's actual situation, collect the domestic data, combine all kinds of theories of predecessors, separately carry on the theoretical and quantitative research on RMB internationalization from the angle of income and cost. On the part of RMB internationalization income, the analysis of seigniorage income will become the key point. Combining with the empirical analysis, the paper will not only estimate the RMB international seigniorage income from the quantity, but also analyze the change of RMB international seigniorage tax. On the part of RMB internationalization cost, it will pay more attention to the risk of currency substitution in China. Through empirical analysis, the paper will study the current situation of currency substitution in China. It also analyzes the influence of various factors on Chinese currency substitution. Finally, based on the analysis of the full text and the reality of our country, the author will summarize the degree of RMB internationalization, the benefits and costs, and the path of RMB internationalization. In addition, based on the theoretical and empirical analysis of the RMB internationalization benefits and costs, the paper gives some policy recommendations on how to promote the RMB internationalization process.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F832.6
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