金磚國家引進FDI與國際貿易關系的比較研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-10-12 14:43
【摘要】：金磚四國最早源于英語中的"BRIC",是由巴西、俄羅斯、印度、中國四個國家的首字母縮寫組成。2010年末,由于南非的加入,BRIC轉變成BRICS,同時我們將巴西、俄羅斯、印度、中國、南非這五個國家稱為金磚國家。 近年來,金磚國家經濟高速發(fā)展,GDP增長速度遠遠超過世界水平,貿易規(guī)模不斷擴大,外資流入量不斷上升,對世界經濟的影響發(fā)揮著舉足輕重的作用。除此之外,金磚國家都是發(fā)展中國家,人口比較多,勞動力資源非常豐富,國內市場需求量也比較大,因此是外資流入的首選之地。由于金磚各國均為發(fā)展中國家,所以對其進行研究所得出的結果對我國有重要的借鑒意義。外商的直接投資和對外貿易是一國重要的經濟活動,但同時兩者之間也存在重要的關系。因此本文研究的主要內容就是金磚國家FDI與貿易之間關系的比較研究。 本文采用了文獻研究法與實證研究法。通過文獻研究,了解金磚國家外商直接投資的流入和貿易的發(fā)展情況,再使用實證研究的方法分析金磚各國FDI與貿易之間的具體數(shù)量關系。 本文圍繞著金磚國家FDI與貿易之間的關系進行研究。第一部分,我們對FDI與貿易之間的關系進行文獻綜述；第二、三部分,分別對金磚國家的FDI與貿易的情況進行了概述；第四部分,利用計量的方法對金磚國家FDI與貿易之間的關系進行了定量分析,得出結論；第五部分,根據計量結果,提出相關的建議。 通過實證分析,我們得出結論：金磚各國的FDI對貿易進出口均有促進作用,但促進的程度有所不同。中國的FDI流入對出口有著非常顯著的促進作用,俄羅斯和巴西的外商直接投資對貿易出口有一定的促進作用,印度的FDI對貿易出口的促進作用不大。南非的FDI對出口有微弱的促進作用,但同時回歸結果顯示,這種微弱的促進作用并不可靠。各國的FDI對進口同樣存在促進作用,其中中國和巴西的FDI對進口有明顯的促進作用,印度和俄羅斯的外商直接投資對進口的促進作用比較小。南非的FDI對進口的影響作用也很小,而且可信度并不高。根據實證研究的結果,我們分析金磚國家影響FDI拉動貿易增長的主要原因,提出相應的對策。具體的措施包括：改善投資的基礎環(huán)境、改變外資流入的行業(yè)比例、注重外商直接投資的質量和效益、引導外資到中西部地區(qū)進行投資、注重保護本國的資源與環(huán)境等。 目前關于FDI與貿易關系的研究比較多,但大多都是圍繞我國情況進行研究。本文的創(chuàng)新就在于通過比較金磚各國FDI與貿易的關系,得出結論,提出相關的政策建議,以促進我國FDI對貿易的影響。 與此同時,本文也存在一定的不足,本文研究了金磚國家的FDI對貿易量的影響,但沒有深入研究金磚國家FDI對貿易結構的影響。其主要原因是,金磚國家都是發(fā)展中國家,數(shù)據查找比較困難。例如,在FDI對貿易結構影響的模型中,技術進步是一個很重要的因素,通常使用研發(fā)支出占GDP的比重來衡量,但根據世界銀行的數(shù)據,南非從2002年之后才有相關的統(tǒng)計數(shù)據。因此,建立FDI對貿易結構影響的模型存在一定的困難。
[Abstract]:BRICs, the earliest BRICs in English, are made up of the initials of four countries in Brazil, Russia, India and China. By the end of 2010, BRIC was transformed into BRICS because of South Africa's accession, while we compared Brazil, Russia, India, China, The five countries of South Africa are called BRICS countries. In recent years, the high-speed development of the BRICS countries, the GDP growth rate is far more than the world level, the trade scale is expanding, the inflow of foreign capital is rising continuously, and the influence of the world economy plays an important role In addition, the BRICS countries are developing countries, the population is more, the labor resources are very abundant, the domestic market demand is also relatively large, so it is the first choice of foreign capital inflow Since the BRICS countries are developing countries, the results obtained by the Brics are important for our country. Foreign direct investment and foreign trade are important economic activities of a country, but at the same time it is also important Therefore, the main content of this paper is the comparison of the relationship between FDI and trade in BRICS countries In this paper, the literature research method is adopted in this paper. This paper studies the inflow and trade of foreign direct investment in BRICS countries through literature research, and then uses the method of empirical research to analyze the relationship between FDI and trade in BRICS countries. The relationship between FDI and trade in BRICS countries. The relationship between FDI and trade is reviewed in the first part. The second part, the third part summarizes the FDI and trade situation of the BRICS countries, and the fourth part makes use of the econometric method to close the trade between FDI and trade in BRICS countries. The system is quantitatively analyzed, concluded that the fifth part is based on the measurement results. Through empirical analysis, we draw the conclusion that the FDI of the BRICS countries has a promoting effect on the import and export of trade China's FDI inflows have a significant boost to exports. Foreign direct investment in Russia and Brazil has a certain boost to trade exports, and India's FDI has a positive impact on exports. Trade export promotion is not big. South Africa's FDI has a weak effect on exports, but the regression results show that this Weak promotion is not reliable. FDI has a positive effect on imports, in which FDI in China and Brazil contributes significantly to imports, and foreign direct investment in India and Russia The impact of FDI on imports is small. The impact of FDI on imports also It is very small, and the credibility isn't high. Based on the results of the empirical study, we analyze the Brics countries that influence FDI to pull trade growth The specific measures include: improving the basic environment of investment, changing the proportion of foreign capital inflow, paying attention to the quality and benefit of foreign direct investment, guiding foreign investment to the central and western regions for investment, and paying attention to Protection of the country's resources and environment, etc. At present, there are more studies on FDI and trade relations, but The innovation of this paper is to compare the relationship between FDI and trade in BRICS countries, and draw the conclusion that relevant policy suggestions are put forward. In order to promote the influence of FDI on trade, this paper also studies the influence of FDI on trade volume in BRICS countries, but not in depth. The influence of Brics countries FDI on the trade structure is studied. The main reason is that the BRICS countries Home is a developing country. It is difficult for data to look up. For example, in the model of FDI on trade structure, technological progress is an important factor, usually measured by the proportion of R & D spending, but according to World Bank data, South Africa Only relevant statistics were available since 2002. Therefore, the establishment of FDI
【學位授予單位】：東北財經大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F746;F116;F831.6
本文編號：2266513
[Abstract]:BRICs, the earliest BRICs in English, are made up of the initials of four countries in Brazil, Russia, India and China. By the end of 2010, BRIC was transformed into BRICS because of South Africa's accession, while we compared Brazil, Russia, India, China, The five countries of South Africa are called BRICS countries. In recent years, the high-speed development of the BRICS countries, the GDP growth rate is far more than the world level, the trade scale is expanding, the inflow of foreign capital is rising continuously, and the influence of the world economy plays an important role In addition, the BRICS countries are developing countries, the population is more, the labor resources are very abundant, the domestic market demand is also relatively large, so it is the first choice of foreign capital inflow Since the BRICS countries are developing countries, the results obtained by the Brics are important for our country. Foreign direct investment and foreign trade are important economic activities of a country, but at the same time it is also important Therefore, the main content of this paper is the comparison of the relationship between FDI and trade in BRICS countries In this paper, the literature research method is adopted in this paper. This paper studies the inflow and trade of foreign direct investment in BRICS countries through literature research, and then uses the method of empirical research to analyze the relationship between FDI and trade in BRICS countries. The relationship between FDI and trade in BRICS countries. The relationship between FDI and trade is reviewed in the first part. The second part, the third part summarizes the FDI and trade situation of the BRICS countries, and the fourth part makes use of the econometric method to close the trade between FDI and trade in BRICS countries. The system is quantitatively analyzed, concluded that the fifth part is based on the measurement results. Through empirical analysis, we draw the conclusion that the FDI of the BRICS countries has a promoting effect on the import and export of trade China's FDI inflows have a significant boost to exports. Foreign direct investment in Russia and Brazil has a certain boost to trade exports, and India's FDI has a positive impact on exports. Trade export promotion is not big. South Africa's FDI has a weak effect on exports, but the regression results show that this Weak promotion is not reliable. FDI has a positive effect on imports, in which FDI in China and Brazil contributes significantly to imports, and foreign direct investment in India and Russia The impact of FDI on imports is small. The impact of FDI on imports also It is very small, and the credibility isn't high. Based on the results of the empirical study, we analyze the Brics countries that influence FDI to pull trade growth The specific measures include: improving the basic environment of investment, changing the proportion of foreign capital inflow, paying attention to the quality and benefit of foreign direct investment, guiding foreign investment to the central and western regions for investment, and paying attention to Protection of the country's resources and environment, etc. At present, there are more studies on FDI and trade relations, but The innovation of this paper is to compare the relationship between FDI and trade in BRICS countries, and draw the conclusion that relevant policy suggestions are put forward. In order to promote the influence of FDI on trade, this paper also studies the influence of FDI on trade volume in BRICS countries, but not in depth. The influence of Brics countries FDI on the trade structure is studied. The main reason is that the BRICS countries Home is a developing country. It is difficult for data to look up. For example, in the model of FDI on trade structure, technological progress is an important factor, usually measured by the proportion of R & D spending, but according to World Bank data, South Africa Only relevant statistics were available since 2002. Therefore, the establishment of FDI
【學位授予單位】：東北財經大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F746;F116;F831.6
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