本文選題：外匯儲備 + 適度規(guī)模��； 參考：《華南理工大學》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：外匯儲備對于一個國家來說意義重大，，它作為對外貿(mào)易的主要支付手段、償還外債的主要償債手段、穩(wěn)定外匯市場的主要工具以及對外投資的主要支付手段在一國的對外關(guān)系中起著至關(guān)重要的作用。因此，一個國家需要持有足夠的外匯儲備來滿足上述要求，但是，如果外匯儲備過多，則會形成外匯儲備資源的浪費，會對國內(nèi)的貨幣供應造成影響進而加重國內(nèi)的通貨膨脹水平，因此，確定一個適度的外匯儲備水平至關(guān)重要。 自1997年亞洲金融危機后，我國外匯儲備總量開始增加，從1997年的139.89億美元增長到2012年3月的33049.71億美元，外匯儲備總量位居世界第一。除此之外，外匯儲備持有量增速在不斷加快，從2001年起更是有加速趨勢，年均增長率達到37%。我國外匯儲備規(guī)模的迅速擴張己經(jīng)使得我國外匯儲備規(guī)模大大超過了適度外匯儲備規(guī)模。 針對這個問題，本文分別利用比例法、回歸分析法、成本收益法對我國適度外匯儲備規(guī)模進行了實證分析，并在充分的借鑒了國內(nèi)外關(guān)于適度外匯儲備規(guī)模理論的基礎(chǔ)之上，結(jié)合中國近年來對外貿(mào)易、對外償債、對外投資以及現(xiàn)行匯率政策的最新國情，對相關(guān)模型的參數(shù)、結(jié)構(gòu)進行了相關(guān)的修改，以確定中國適度外匯儲備規(guī)模，進而通過對比我國實際外匯儲備規(guī)模水平，以確定我國外匯儲備規(guī)�，F(xiàn)狀，最后在結(jié)合我國外匯儲備規(guī)模的影響因素的基礎(chǔ)之上，給出了外匯儲備規(guī)模管理的相關(guān)政策建議。
[Abstract]:Foreign exchange reserves are of great significance to a country. As the main means of payment for foreign trade, foreign exchange reserves are the main means of paying off foreign debts.The main instruments of stabilizing the foreign exchange market and the main means of payment of foreign investment play a vital role in a country's foreign relations.Therefore, a country needs to hold sufficient foreign exchange reserves to meet the above requirements. However, if the foreign exchange reserves are excessive, it will result in a waste of foreign exchange reserves.It will have an impact on the domestic money supply and thus increase the level of domestic inflation, so it is essential to determine a moderate level of foreign exchange reserves.Since the Asian financial crisis in 1997, the total foreign exchange reserves of China began to increase, from 13.989 billion dollars in 1997 to 3.304971 trillion dollars in March 2012. The total amount of foreign exchange reserves ranks first in the world.In addition, the growth rate of foreign exchange reserve holdings has been accelerating since 2001, with an average annual growth rate of 37%.The rapid expansion of China's foreign exchange reserves has made the scale of China's foreign exchange reserves greatly exceed the moderate scale of foreign exchange reserves.In order to solve this problem, this paper uses proportional method, regression analysis method and cost-income method to analyze the scale of appropriate foreign exchange reserve in China, and based on the theory of appropriate foreign exchange reserve at home and abroad.According to the latest situation of China's foreign trade, foreign debt service, foreign investment and current exchange rate policy in recent years, the parameters and structure of the relevant models have been modified to determine the scale of China's moderate foreign exchange reserves.Then, by comparing the actual level of foreign exchange reserve in China, this paper determines the present situation of foreign exchange reserve scale of our country. Finally, on the basis of combining the influencing factors of foreign exchange reserve scale of our country, the paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions on the scale management of foreign exchange reserve.
【學位授予單位】：華南理工大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F832.6

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