本文關鍵詞：展覽業(yè)與貨物貿易關系研究　出處：《寧波大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關文章： 展覽業(yè) 貨物貿易 相互影響 作用機制

【摘要】：展覽業(yè)具有強大的貿易功能，同時展覽業(yè)的發(fā)展也受貨物貿易的影響。本文以國際貿易理論為切入點，結合展覽業(yè)發(fā)展特點探討了我國展覽業(yè)與貨物貿易的相互影響關系以及實現這一相互影響關系的具體機制。展覽業(yè)與貨物貿易發(fā)展依托同樣的產業(yè)基礎，需要共同的交通條件，同時兩者的相互影響要建立在雙方獲得一定發(fā)展的基礎上。展覽業(yè)通過技術進步、資源配置、需求變化以及規(guī)模經濟促進貨物貿易的發(fā)展，貨物貿易反過來也通過技術進步、資源配置、需求變化促進展覽業(yè)的發(fā)展。 為了能定量描述展覽業(yè)發(fā)展水平，限于數據的可獲得性，本文選取展會數量、展館數量、展會面積與展館室內面積這四個規(guī)模指標進行主成分分析，建立展覽業(yè)現實發(fā)展水平這一衡量展覽業(yè)發(fā)展水平的指標，并通過聚類分析驗證了運用這個規(guī)模指標代表展覽業(yè)發(fā)展水平的合理性。在此基礎上，通過主成分回歸以及分位數回歸分對外貿易總額、進口貿易額、出口貿易額對展覽業(yè)與貨物貿易的關系進行實證研究，研究結果表明展覽業(yè)發(fā)展對貨物貿易發(fā)展的影響非常顯著，展覽業(yè)發(fā)展水平的提高能夠促進貨物貿易規(guī)模擴大，而且對進口貿易的促進作用要大于對出口貿易的促進作用。另一方面，在現階段，對外貿易總額對展覽業(yè)發(fā)展的影響不顯著；分進口貿易額與出口貿易額來看，，進口貿易額對展覽業(yè)發(fā)展影響顯著，進口貿易額擴大能夠促進展覽業(yè)發(fā)展水平的提高，而且這種促進作用只有在展覽業(yè)發(fā)展到一定水平才能顯現，隨著展覽業(yè)發(fā)展水平的不斷提高，這種促進作用也不斷增加；出口貿易額對展覽業(yè)發(fā)展影響不顯著，這主要是因為我國大部分地區(qū)展覽業(yè)發(fā)展仍處在發(fā)展初期，展覽業(yè)發(fā)展更多受到政治、文化等方面的影響，出口貿易對展覽業(yè)的帶動作用尚未顯現。 為了實現展覽業(yè)與貨物貿易共同發(fā)展，論文提出了相關的政策建議，具體包括：完善政府對展覽業(yè)的宏觀管理和規(guī)劃；確立展覽業(yè)市場化運行機制；加強展覽業(yè)貿易功能建設；促進外貿穩(wěn)定發(fā)展，特別是進口貿易的持續(xù)穩(wěn)定發(fā)展等。
[Abstract]:The exhibition industry has a strong function of trade, development and exhibition industry is also affected by the trade in goods. In this paper, the theory of international trade as the starting point, combined with the development of the exhibition industry to explore the characteristics of the mutual influence of China's exhibition industry and commodity trade relations and the mutual influence relations. The specific mechanism of the exhibition industry and trade in goods relying on the same basis of industry development, the need for common traffic conditions, influence each other and both should be established on the basis of the development of both sides. The exhibition industry through technological progress, the allocation of resources, changes in demand and economies of scale to promote the development of trade in goods, trade in goods in turn through technological progress, promote the development of the allocation of resources, changes in demand the exhibition industry.
In order to quantitatively describe the development of the exhibition industry level, the limited data available, this paper selects the number of exhibition hall, the number of principal component analysis for the exhibition area and indoor exhibition hall area of the four scale indicators, the establishment of the exhibition industry development level of the real measure of the development of the exhibition industry level indicators, and verified the rationality of using the scale index on behalf of the exhibition industry development level through cluster analysis. On this basis, through principal component regression and quantile regression of total foreign trade, import trade, carried out an empirical study on the relationship between export trade volume of exhibition industry and trade, the results showed that the effect of the development of the exhibition industry on the development of trade in goods is very significant, the exhibition industry development can promote the scale of trade in goods and expansion of import trade promoting effect will be greater than that of the export trade to promote the role of the other party. The surface, at this stage, the impact of foreign trade on the total development of the exhibition industry is not significant; import trade and export trade, import trade on the development of the exhibition industry has significant influence on import trade expansion can promote the development of the exhibition industry to raise the level, but this effect only in the development of the exhibition industry to a certain level to show, with the development of the exhibition industry standards continue to improve, this effect will continue to increase; export trade development of the exhibition industry is not significantly affected, this is mainly because the development of the exhibition industry in most areas of our country is still in the early stages of development, the development of the exhibition industry have more political, cultural and other aspects of the impact, the leading role on the export trade exhibition the industry has not yet appeared.
In order to realize the common development of exhibition industry and trade in goods, the paper puts forward relevant policy suggestions, including: perfecting the government macro management of the exhibition industry and planning; establishment of operation mechanism of exhibition industry and exhibition industry trade market; strengthen the function of construction; promote the stable development of foreign trade, especially import trade sustained and stable development.

【學位授予單位】：寧波大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F713.83;F752

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