本文選題：供應鏈風險 + 模糊綜合評價��； 參考：《中國鐵道科學研究院》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：20世紀末期以來,在科技和生產(chǎn)力快速發(fā)展的大背景下,全球化信息網(wǎng)絡逐步形成,加快了全球化市場的形成,也加速了技術應用地域變遷,導致新產(chǎn)品層出不窮,市場競爭日趨激烈。生產(chǎn)力的發(fā)展、制造工藝的革新和客戶需求的日益多樣化就要求企業(yè)加速研發(fā)新產(chǎn)品,不斷縮短交貨期,同時提高產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量和服務質(zhì)量。為獲得新形勢下的競爭優(yōu)勢,企業(yè)縱向和橫向整合力度不斷加大,陸續(xù)出現(xiàn)了一些巨無霸企業(yè)集團。隨著巨型公司供應鏈整合的快速進行,供應鏈在給企業(yè)帶來競爭優(yōu)勢的同時也伴隨帶來了更多風險。供應鏈風險的傳遞進一步導致了供應鏈的脆弱性;由此造成的供應鏈管理效率低下問題,時常在供應鏈企業(yè)間發(fā)生并造成不同程度的損失。本文以軌道交通裝備制造企業(yè)Z公司的供應鏈風險管理為主要研究對象,通過對Z公司供應鏈風險管理的研究,針對供應鏈風險識別方法以及供應鏈風險分析方法,總結(jié)了一套基本上完整可行的理論,對于裝備制造型企業(yè)供應鏈管控指導理論也起到了一定的豐富作用。另外,對于Z公司而言,從管理實踐角度講,對企業(yè)在智能制造和產(chǎn)業(yè)升級的大背景下進行供應鏈風險管理優(yōu)化升級,提升企業(yè)競爭力,優(yōu)化經(jīng)營績效等也具有建設意義。本文主要由五部分組成:第一章,緒論,主要是明晰企業(yè)供應鏈風險評估和分析的相關研究背景,簡要介紹關于供應鏈風險管理的國內(nèi)外相關研究現(xiàn)狀,在給出本文技術路線的基礎上簡要介紹本文內(nèi)容安排。第二章,供應鏈風險管理理論綜述,主要歸納了有關管理理論知識以及進行供應鏈風險評估中所用到的模型原理。第三章,Z公司供應鏈風險因素識別,主要是界定Z公司供應鏈風險因素。通過內(nèi)部調(diào)研走訪,采用SWOT分析以及波特五力模型框架,分析Z公司在行業(yè)的定位以及供應鏈競爭力水平。設計調(diào)查問卷用于收集數(shù)據(jù)來研究Z公司供應鏈相關因素指標并將因素指標進行分類,為后續(xù)對各類風險評價提供條件。第四章,基于模糊綜合評價法與神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡綜合評價法的Z公司供應鏈風險評價,主要是對Z公司供應鏈風險進行評價,分析各類風險因素的重要性程度并設置權重;運用神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡綜合評價方法和模糊綜合評價法,對各類風險所包含的二級指標進行評價,比較分析兩類方法的評價結(jié)果后取得各風險因素的重要程度。第五章,Z公司供應鏈風險分析及管理措施,主要是針對Z公司供應鏈風險研究提出防控措施。根據(jù)Z公司企業(yè)經(jīng)營管理特點及其各風險因素狀態(tài)提出進行進一步合理化的建議措施。本文的研究成果針對目前軌道交通制造企業(yè)的供應鏈風險管理現(xiàn)狀及管理要點,提出的風險評價方法及管控措施可直接用于Z公司供應鏈管理過程中,希望有助于改進完善企業(yè)的供應鏈風險管理體系。
[Abstract]:Since the end of the 20th century, under the background of rapid development of science and technology and productivity, the global information network has gradually formed, accelerated the formation of global market and accelerated the regional changes of technology application, resulting in the emergence of new products in endlessly. The market is becoming increasingly competitive. With the development of productivity, the innovation of manufacturing process and the increasing diversification of customer demand, enterprises should accelerate the research and development of new products, shorten the delivery time, and improve the quality of products and service at the same time. In order to obtain the competitive advantage under the new situation, the vertical and horizontal integration of enterprises is continuously strengthened, and some giant enterprise groups appear one after another. With the rapid development of supply chain integration of giant companies, supply chain brings more risks as well as competitive advantages. The transmission of supply chain risk leads to the fragility of supply chain, and the inefficient supply chain management often occurs among supply chain enterprises and results in different losses. This paper takes the supply chain risk management of Z Company as the main research object, through the research on the supply chain risk management of Z Company, aiming at the supply chain risk identification method and the supply chain risk analysis method. A set of basic complete and feasible theory is summarized, which also plays a rich role in the supply chain management and control guidance theory of equipment manufacturing enterprises. In addition, for company Z, from the perspective of management practice, it is significant to optimize and upgrade supply chain risk management in the context of intelligent manufacturing and industrial upgrading, to enhance enterprise competitiveness, and to optimize business performance. This paper is mainly composed of five parts: chapter one, introduction, mainly clarify the relevant research background of enterprise supply chain risk assessment and analysis, briefly introduce the domestic and foreign related research status of supply chain risk management. On the basis of giving the technical route of this paper, the content arrangement of this paper is introduced briefly. The second chapter summarizes the theory of supply chain risk management, mainly summarizes the knowledge of management theory and the theory of model used in the risk assessment of supply chain. The third chapter is to identify the supply chain risk factors of Z Company, mainly to define the supply chain risk factors of Z Company. Through internal investigation and visit, SWOT analysis and Porter's five-force model framework are used to analyze Z Company's position in the industry and the level of supply chain competitiveness. The questionnaire is designed to collect data to study the supply chain related factors in Z Company and classify the factors to provide the conditions for the subsequent risk assessment. The fourth chapter, based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method and neural network comprehensive evaluation method, Z company supply chain risk evaluation, mainly to Z company supply chain risk evaluation, analysis of the importance of various risk factors and set up the weight; Neural network comprehensive evaluation method and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method are used to evaluate the secondary indexes contained in various kinds of risks, and the importance of each risk factor is obtained by comparing and analyzing the evaluation results of the two kinds of methods. The fifth chapter is about the risk analysis and management measures of supply chain in Z Company, mainly aiming at the research of supply chain risk of Z Company. According to the management characteristics of Z Company and its risk factors, some suggestions are put forward for further rationalization. According to the current situation and key points of supply chain risk management in rail transit manufacturing enterprises, the method of risk evaluation and control measures proposed in this paper can be directly used in the process of supply chain management of company Z. Hope to improve and improve the supply chain risk management system.
【學位授予單位】：中國鐵道科學研究院
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F274;F426.4

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