供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易與中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí):機(jī)理分析與實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易 產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí) 全球價(jià)值鏈 資源重置 出處:《浙江大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易是國(guó)際貿(mào)易研究的一個(gè)新視野,這一視野綜合了中間產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易和全球價(jià)值鏈貿(mào)易兩個(gè)范疇。已有研究顯示,積極參與全球供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易,對(duì)于一國(guó)企業(yè)效率提升進(jìn)而產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)起著重要作用。產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)是經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)的重要基礎(chǔ)與結(jié)果,也是中國(guó)近年產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展必須跨越的一道坎。產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)有兩種內(nèi)涵,分別為結(jié)構(gòu)變化和附加值增加。供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易同時(shí)涉及這兩個(gè)內(nèi)涵。本文主旨,就在于從全球供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易視角切入,審視中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)的約束條件與可能的路徑選擇,將供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易最新的理論研究和中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)現(xiàn)實(shí)對(duì)接,拓展中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)研究。 理論上,本文梳理了供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易和產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)的相關(guān)概念與實(shí)證研究,發(fā)現(xiàn)與產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)相比,對(duì)供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易的學(xué)術(shù)探討并不系統(tǒng),尚待完善。在文獻(xiàn)整理的基礎(chǔ)上較系統(tǒng)地梳理了供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)效率增進(jìn)因而升級(jí)的四個(gè)機(jī)制,即技術(shù)溢出、專業(yè)化、競(jìng)爭(zhēng)、資源重置以及鎖定效應(yīng),并提出了一個(gè)機(jī)理系統(tǒng)。 實(shí)證方面,基于世界投入產(chǎn)出表,選取了15個(gè)行業(yè)11年的面板數(shù)據(jù),以勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率作為產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)代理變量,測(cè)度了I2P、I2E以及附加值貿(mào)易對(duì)行業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)的影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),對(duì)全部15個(gè)行業(yè)樣本,回歸模型中I2P和附加值貿(mào)易增長(zhǎng)對(duì)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)呈現(xiàn)二次指數(shù)關(guān)系,而I2E增長(zhǎng)對(duì)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)則是先升后降的開(kāi)口向下的拋物線關(guān)系,即I2P和附加值貿(mào)易對(duì)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率的促進(jìn)作用更加明顯,而I2E對(duì)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率的促進(jìn)存在一個(gè)“拐點(diǎn)”。從行業(yè)分類樣本來(lái)看,I2P對(duì)科技含量較高的行業(yè)(不論是資本密集型還是勞動(dòng)密集型)的影響比低科技含量的行業(yè)要大,I2E對(duì)科技含量較高的資本密集型行業(yè)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率的影響最強(qiáng),而附加值貿(mào)易對(duì)四類行業(yè)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)均具有顯著的正向影響。 基于機(jī)理分析和實(shí)證檢驗(yàn),本文提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議,包括融入供應(yīng)鏈貿(mào)易,深化國(guó)際分工;利用中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口,轉(zhuǎn)化先進(jìn)技術(shù);拓寬加工貿(mào)易內(nèi)涵,建立自主產(chǎn)權(quán);把握行業(yè)發(fā)展特征,優(yōu)化服務(wù)體系;加快產(chǎn)品升級(jí)換代,創(chuàng)造價(jià)值增值;突破發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家鉗制,構(gòu)建國(guó)家價(jià)值鏈等。
[Abstract]:Supply chain trade is a new vision of international trade research, which integrates the trade of intermediate goods and global value chain trade. It plays an important role in improving the efficiency of a country's enterprises and then upgrading the industry. Industrial upgrading is an important foundation and result of sustained economic growth. Industrial upgrading has two connotations, one is structural change and the other is added value increase. Supply chain trade involves these two connotations at the same time. From the perspective of global supply chain trade, this paper examines the constraints and possible path choices of China's industrial upgrading, and connects the latest theoretical research of supply chain trade with China's industrial reality. To expand the study of industrial upgrading in China. In theory, this paper combed the supply chain trade and industrial upgrading related concepts and empirical research, found that compared with industrial upgrading, the academic discussion of supply chain trade is not systematic. On the basis of literature review, this paper systematically combs the four mechanisms of supply chain trade to enhance industrial efficiency, namely technology spillover, specialization, competition, resource resetting and locking effect. A mechanism system is proposed. Empirical analysis, based on the world input-output table, selected 15 industries for 11 years of panel data, labor productivity as a proxy variable for industrial upgrading, the measurement of I2P. I2E and the impact of value-added trade on industry upgrading. The study found that all 15 industry samples. In the regression model, I _ 2P and added value trade growth have a quadratic exponential relationship to the growth of labor productivity, while I _ 2E growth is a parabola relation between the first rise and then the decline. That is, I2P and added value trade promote labor productivity more obviously, while I2E has a "inflection point" to promote labor productivity. I2P has a greater impact on industries with higher scientific and technological content (whether capital-intensive or labor-intensive) than those with low technological content. I2E has the strongest influence on labor productivity in capital-intensive industries with high scientific and technological content, while value-added trade has a significant positive effect on the growth of labor productivity in four industries. Based on the mechanism analysis and empirical test, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations, including the integration of supply chain trade, deepening the international division of labor; Import of intermediate products and transformation of advanced technology; Widening the connotation of processing trade and establishing independent property rights; Grasp the characteristics of industry development, optimize the service system; Speed up the upgrading of products, create value added; Break through the restraint of developed countries and build national value chain.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:浙江大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F224;F124;F752.6
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