山體滑坡海事風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的三維測度方法
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-25 09:51
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 滑坡涌浪 海事風(fēng)險(xiǎn) 三維測度 系統(tǒng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)系數(shù) 交通管制 出處:《水運(yùn)工程》2017年09期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:為了更科學(xué)地評(píng)判山體滑坡災(zāi)害導(dǎo)致的海事風(fēng)險(xiǎn)并且科學(xué)實(shí)施水上交通管制決策,研究山體滑坡海事風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的三維測度方法。以大中規(guī)模劇動(dòng)式滑坡涌浪為研究對象,根據(jù)山體滑坡海事風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的形成過程研究其海事風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的三維測度方法,提出了以山體滑坡變形破壞階段、滑坡涌浪規(guī)模、涌浪損毀船舶的系統(tǒng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)綜合系數(shù)為測度指標(biāo)的海事風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)判模型,并通過實(shí)例說明該方法及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)判模型的應(yīng)用。研究結(jié)論表明:該海事風(fēng)險(xiǎn)測度方法及評(píng)判模型,考慮了山體滑坡險(xiǎn)情水上交通管制的主要因素,全面地反映了山體滑坡災(zāi)害導(dǎo)致的海事風(fēng)險(xiǎn)特征。
[Abstract]:In order to judge the maritime risk caused by landslide disaster more scientifically and implement water traffic control decision scientifically. The 3D measurement method of marine risk of landslide is studied. Taking the surge wave of large and medium scale landslide as the research object, the 3D measurement method of maritime risk of landslide is studied according to the formation process of marine risk of landslide. A maritime risk evaluation model is proposed, which takes the deformation and failure stage of landslide, the scale of landslide surge wave and the comprehensive coefficient of systematic risk of surge wave damage ship as the measure index. The application of the method and the risk assessment model is illustrated by an example. The conclusion of the study shows that the main factors of water traffic control for landslide risk are taken into account in the marine risk measurement method and the evaluation model. It reflects the characteristics of maritime risk caused by landslide disaster.
【作者單位】: 重慶交通大學(xué)水利水運(yùn)工程教育部重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室;武漢理工大學(xué)內(nèi)河航運(yùn)技術(shù)湖北省重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室;重慶交通大學(xué)航運(yùn)與船舶工程學(xué)院;重慶交通大學(xué)國家內(nèi)河航道整治工程技術(shù)研究中心;長江海事局指揮中心;
【基金】:國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(51479015) 中國博士后基金項(xiàng)目(2016M592889XB) 重慶市教育委員會(huì)科學(xué)技術(shù)研究項(xiàng)目(KJ1500519) 內(nèi)河航運(yùn)技術(shù)湖北省重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室基金項(xiàng)目(NHHY2015001) 重慶交通大學(xué)國家內(nèi)河航道整治工程技術(shù)研究中心暨水利水運(yùn)工程教育部重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室開放基金項(xiàng)目(SLK2016B06)
【分類號(hào)】:P642.22;U698
【正文快照】: 2.武漢理工大學(xué)內(nèi)河航運(yùn)技術(shù)湖北省重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室,湖北武漢430063;3.重慶交通大學(xué)航運(yùn)與船舶工程學(xué)院,重慶400074;4.重慶交通大學(xué)國家內(nèi)河航道整治工程技術(shù)研究中心,重慶400074;5.長江海事局指揮中心,湖北武漢430016)山區(qū)航道大中規(guī)模劇動(dòng)式山體滑坡[1]除直接沖擊水運(yùn)工程設(shè)施外,,
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