基于動態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)的中國菲利普斯曲線穩(wěn)健性分析
發(fā)布時間：2019-01-07 09:08
【摘要】：基于中國1978-2008年31個省市的動態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù),運用系統(tǒng)廣義矩估計方法,分別考察了傳統(tǒng)的菲利普斯曲線、新凱恩斯菲利普斯曲線和混合菲利普斯曲線在中國的適用性及穩(wěn)健性。結(jié)果表明三種類型的菲利普斯曲線在中國省際動態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)意義上都是成立的,且都是穩(wěn)健的。政策含義是,政策制定需高度重視人們對通貨膨脹率的前瞻性預期。
[Abstract]:Based on the dynamic panel data of 31 provinces and cities in China from 1978 to 2008, the traditional Phillips curve is investigated by using the generalized moment estimation method. Applicability and robustness of New Keynesian Phillips Curve and mixed Phillips Curve in China. The results show that the three types of Phillips curves are all valid and robust in the sense of Chinese provincial dynamic panel data. The policy implication is that policy-making needs to place high value on forward-looking expectations of inflation.
【作者單位】： 廈門大學經(jīng)濟學院經(jīng)濟學系;廈門大學王亞南經(jīng)濟研究院;
【分類號】：F822.5;F224
[Abstract]:Based on the dynamic panel data of 31 provinces and cities in China from 1978 to 2008, the traditional Phillips curve is investigated by using the generalized moment estimation method. Applicability and robustness of New Keynesian Phillips Curve and mixed Phillips Curve in China. The results show that the three types of Phillips curves are all valid and robust in the sense of Chinese provincial dynamic panel data. The policy implication is that policy-making needs to place high value on forward-looking expectations of inflation.
【作者單位】： 廈門大學經(jīng)濟學院經(jīng)濟學系;廈門大學王亞南經(jīng)濟研究院;
【分類號】：F822.5;F224
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