基于多元隨機(jī)波動模型方法的股指期貨與現(xiàn)貨關(guān)系研究——以亞洲五地金融市場為例
發(fā)布時間:2018-11-21 07:44
【摘要】:本文以多元隨機(jī)波動模型檢視亞洲五個主要金融市場股指期貨與現(xiàn)貨的報酬關(guān)系與波動溢出效應(yīng)。實證發(fā)現(xiàn),五地金融市場股指期貨與現(xiàn)貨之間皆存在雙向的波動溢出效應(yīng)。股指現(xiàn)貨動態(tài)相關(guān)系數(shù)和波動持續(xù)系數(shù)均高,顯示現(xiàn)貨市場具有聚類的現(xiàn)象。此外,本研究進(jìn)一步探討股指期貨與現(xiàn)貨的聯(lián)動和共同波動因子的關(guān)系,實證發(fā)現(xiàn),股指期貨與現(xiàn)貨的波動關(guān)系是同時受到共同信息發(fā)布的影響。
[Abstract]:This paper examines the relationship between stock index futures and spot returns and volatility spillover effects in five major Asian financial markets by using a multivariate stochastic volatility model. Empirical results show that there are two-way volatility spillover effects between stock index futures and spot in the five financial markets. Both the dynamic correlation coefficient and volatility persistence coefficient of spot stock index are high, indicating that the spot market has clustering phenomenon. In addition, this study further discusses the relationship between stock index futures and spot and common fluctuation factors. It is found that the relationship between stock index futures and spot volatility is affected by the release of common information at the same time.
【作者單位】: 復(fù)旦大學(xué)管理學(xué)院;臺灣第一銀行;
【分類號】:F832.51
[Abstract]:This paper examines the relationship between stock index futures and spot returns and volatility spillover effects in five major Asian financial markets by using a multivariate stochastic volatility model. Empirical results show that there are two-way volatility spillover effects between stock index futures and spot in the five financial markets. Both the dynamic correlation coefficient and volatility persistence coefficient of spot stock index are high, indicating that the spot market has clustering phenomenon. In addition, this study further discusses the relationship between stock index futures and spot and common fluctuation factors. It is found that the relationship between stock index futures and spot volatility is affected by the release of common information at the same time.
【作者單位】: 復(fù)旦大學(xué)管理學(xué)院;臺灣第一銀行;
【分類號】:F832.51
【二級參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前5條
1 徐正國,張世英;調(diào)整"已實現(xiàn)"波動率與GARCH及SV模型對波動的預(yù)測能力的比較研究[J];系統(tǒng)工程;2004年08期
2 張永東,畢秋香;上海股市波動性預(yù)測模型的實證比較[J];管理工程學(xué)報;2003年02期
3 余素紅,張世英,宋軍;基于GARCH模型和SV模型的VaR比較[J];管理科學(xué)學(xué)報;2004年05期
4 陳浪南,黃杰鯤;中國股票市場波動非對稱性的實證研究[J];金融研究;2002年05期
5 劉鳳芹,吳喜之;基于SV模型的深圳股市波動的預(yù)測[J];山西財經(jīng)大學(xué)學(xué)報;2004年04期
【相似文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條
1 王萬s,
本文編號:2346347
本文鏈接:http://www.sikaile.net/guanlilunwen/bankxd/2346347.html
最近更新
教材專著