貿易發(fā)展促進貨幣國際化研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-05-21 18:30
本文選題:貨幣國際化 + 貿易發(fā)展 ; 參考:《寧波大學》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著世界經濟的發(fā)展、美元霸權地位的下降、日元國際化的推進以及歐元作為國際貨幣的出現,貨幣國際化問題得到理論界更多關注。本文以貿易為切入點,在歸納分析經典理論的基礎上,從貿易規(guī)模與貿易結構兩方面詳盡分析了貿易發(fā)展促進貨幣國際化的影響路徑,剖析了貿易發(fā)展影響貨幣國際化程度的因素,構建多國面板模型,進行實證分析,并分別建立日元與德馬克國際化的多元序列回歸模型,比較分析了日元、馬克在國際化進程中的貿易促進作用,最后在理論分析和實證研究的基礎上歸納了有利于人民幣國際化的若干啟示。 本文認為:貿易規(guī)模擴大帶來的規(guī)模經濟效應和交易網絡效應,會對貨幣國際化帶來積極的正面作用;貿易結構不斷優(yōu)化使貨幣的使用范圍逐漸增加,會發(fā)展與完善該貨幣的交易媒介職能,也會促進貨幣國際化;貨幣發(fā)行國的經濟實力、金融發(fā)展水平和貨幣價值的穩(wěn)定也對一國貨幣國際化有重要作用。 實證結果以及對馬克日元國際化進程比較分析進一步表明:對外貿易規(guī)模的擴大、產品差異化程度的提升可以促進貨幣國際化;一國經濟實力是貨幣國際化的重要因素;金融發(fā)展對貨幣國際化的推動力隨著全球金融經濟的深入發(fā)展而日漸增強;幣值穩(wěn)定是一國貨幣成為國際貨幣的重要條件。非主流貨幣國際化不要單打獨斗,,最好依靠區(qū)域合作的力量;國際貨幣的各個職能要兼顧發(fā)展,缺一不可。 為此,本文結合理論和實證的分析,從人民幣國際化現狀出發(fā),最后提出以貿易發(fā)展為突破口加快推進人民幣國際化的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略和實施舉措,具體包括:堅持從區(qū)域化到國際化的發(fā)展道路;發(fā)揮貿易推動效應,擴大國際貿易規(guī)模、推進產業(yè)結構升級;鞏固人民幣國際化的金融根基;匯率改革和調整堅持獨立自主原則。
[Abstract]:With the development of the world economy, the decline of the hegemonic position of the dollar, the promotion of the internationalization of the yen and the emergence of the euro as an international currency, the issue of currency internationalization has been paid more attention to by the theorists. Based on the classical theory, this paper analyzes the influence of trade development on currency internationalization from two aspects: trade scale and trade structure. This paper analyzes the factors that influence the degree of currency internationalization in the development of trade, constructs the multi-country panel model, carries on the empirical analysis, and establishes the multiple sequence regression model of the internationalization of Japanese yen and Demark respectively, and compares and analyzes the yen. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical research, the author sums up some enlightenments in favor of RMB internationalization. This paper holds that the scale economy effect and the trade network effect brought by the expansion of trade scale will bring positive effect to currency internationalization, and the continuous optimization of trade structure will gradually increase the scope of use of currency. It will develop and perfect the exchange medium function of the currency and promote the currency internationalization, and the stability of the economic strength, the level of financial development and the monetary value of the issuing country will also play an important role in the internationalization of a country's currency. The empirical results and comparative analysis of the internationalization process of the mark yen further show that the expansion of the scale of foreign trade and the promotion of product differentiation can promote the currency internationalization, the economic strength of a country is an important factor of currency internationalization; With the further development of global financial economy, the impetus of financial development to currency internationalization is increasing, and currency stability is an important condition for a country's currency to become an international currency. It is best to rely on the strength of regional cooperation. All functions of the international currency must be balanced with the development of the international currency, and it is indispensable for each function of the international currency to take into account the development of the international currency. Therefore, based on the theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper, starting from the current situation of RMB internationalization, finally puts forward the development strategy and implementation measures to accelerate the internationalization of RMB by taking the development of trade as a breakthrough. It includes: insisting on the development road from regionalization to internationalization; exerting the effect of promoting trade, expanding the scale of international trade, promoting the upgrading of industrial structure; consolidating the financial foundation of RMB internationalization; Exchange rate reform and readjustment adhere to the principle of independence and independence.
【學位授予單位】:寧波大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F821.6;F746
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