探析歐債危機(jī)的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制
本文選題:歐債危機(jī) 切入點(diǎn):貿(mào)易傳導(dǎo) 出處:《吉林大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類(lèi)型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:歐元區(qū)國(guó)家政府存在的高赤字和高負(fù)債將歐洲債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)擴(kuò)大,同時(shí)歐元區(qū)國(guó)家之間通過(guò)金融機(jī)構(gòu)和金融市場(chǎng)加深了歐債危機(jī)的傳導(dǎo)。希臘爆發(fā)的債務(wù)問(wèn)題成了歐元區(qū)中第一張多米諾骨牌,其他國(guó)家相繼步其后塵,歐元區(qū)核心國(guó)家的信用也在降低并存在發(fā)生債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的可能性。 本文以希臘債務(wù)問(wèn)題的發(fā)生為切入點(diǎn),研究歐洲債務(wù)危機(jī)在歐洲尤其是歐元區(qū)內(nèi)的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制,指出貿(mào)易、密切的銀行業(yè)務(wù)往來(lái)和金融市場(chǎng)預(yù)期惡化在此次債務(wù)危機(jī)的傳導(dǎo)過(guò)程中起了很大作用,特別是金融機(jī)構(gòu)的銀行之間業(yè)務(wù)往來(lái)量大,相互交叉持有債務(wù)使債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)在各國(guó)金融機(jī)構(gòu)之間傳遞。同時(shí)歐元區(qū)金融市場(chǎng)的相互依存隨歐洲經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化加強(qiáng)而不斷加深,金融市場(chǎng)衍生工具不斷創(chuàng)新也加深了債務(wù)危機(jī)的傳導(dǎo),特別是歐債危機(jī)中掉期違約互換(CDS)將金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)在債券交易雙方和CDS合約雙方之間傳遞,惡化了歐洲市場(chǎng)預(yù)期,國(guó)際投機(jī)者加大了對(duì)歐洲金融市場(chǎng)的炒作,債務(wù)危機(jī)逐步被放大。 本文的目的在于更好的研究如何遏制債務(wù)危機(jī)在歐洲特別是歐元區(qū)的傳導(dǎo),從貿(mào)易、金融機(jī)構(gòu)和金融市場(chǎng)三方面控制債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)在歐元區(qū)的擴(kuò)大,防止歐洲經(jīng)濟(jì)繼續(xù)惡化。在此基礎(chǔ)上指出中國(guó)在此次歐債危機(jī)中得到的啟示,認(rèn)為貿(mào)易傳導(dǎo)對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響是主要的,為中國(guó)貿(mào)易出口帶來(lái)負(fù)面影響,并且認(rèn)為通過(guò)歐洲債務(wù)危機(jī)的發(fā)生應(yīng)該及時(shí)思考中國(guó)地方債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn),把握地方債務(wù)融資的正規(guī)性和規(guī)范性。
[Abstract]:The high deficits and high indebtedness of eurozone governments increase the risk of European debt. At the same time, financial institutions and financial markets have deepened the transmission of the euro zone's debt crisis. The Greek debt crisis has become the first domino in the euro zone, and other countries have followed suit. Credit in the euro zone's core countries is also eroding and there is a risk of debt risk. This paper studies the transmission mechanism of the European debt crisis in Europe, especially in the euro zone, and points out that trade is the starting point of the Greek debt problem. Close banking transactions and expected deterioration in financial markets have played a significant role in the transmission of the debt crisis, especially in the large volume of inter-bank transactions between financial institutions. Cross-ownership of debt causes debt risk to be transmitted among financial institutions in various countries. At the same time, the interdependence of financial markets in the euro zone is deepening with the strengthening of economic integration in Europe. The constant innovation of derivatives in financial markets has also deepened the transmission of the debt crisis, especially since the European debt crisis, in which swaps and CDSs spread financial risk between bond trading parties and CDS contract parties, worsened European market expectations. International speculators have stepped up speculation on European financial markets, and the debt crisis has been magnified. The purpose of this paper is to better study how to curb the transmission of debt crisis in Europe, especially in the euro zone, and to control the expansion of debt risk in the euro zone from three aspects: trade, financial institutions and financial markets. To prevent the European economy from deteriorating further. On the basis of this, it points out the enlightenment China has received in the European debt crisis. It believes that the impact of trade transmission on China's economy is the main one, and that it has a negative impact on China's trade exports. We should think about the risk of Chinese local debt and grasp the formality and normality of local debt financing through the emergence of European debt crisis.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F831.59
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