我國通貨膨脹成因?qū)嵶C分析
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-03 00:13
本文選題:通貨膨脹 切入點:需求拉動 出處:《河南大學》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
【摘要】:不管什么性質(zhì)的國家,資本主義還是社會主義,也不管國家的發(fā)展程度如何,處于發(fā)展階段還是發(fā)達階段,都不同程度地受到通貨膨脹問題的困擾。控制通貨膨脹已成為世界各國政府和經(jīng)濟學家們關(guān)注的重要問題。各國都把控制通貨膨脹作為經(jīng)濟工作的長期任務(wù)和宏觀調(diào)控政策的重要目標。國際經(jīng)濟組織和專家學者們在實踐中研究通貨膨脹理論,并指導世界各國通貨膨脹的治理。他們在總結(jié)可供借鑒的經(jīng)驗教訓方面已獲得豐碩成果。 作為世界上最大的發(fā)展中國家,我國在市場體制轉(zhuǎn)軌過程中也曾多次出現(xiàn)通貨膨脹問題。如果不能有效治理通貨膨脹,改革開放30多年好不容易積累的成果就會受到嚴重影響。國家財富縮水,居民、企業(yè)和社會各方面所承受的壓力就要增加。在繼續(xù)深化經(jīng)濟體制改革,全面建成小康社會的道路上,通貨膨脹仍然是無法回避的難題。 本文在第一章介紹了選題的背景和意義,并對國內(nèi)外的研究成果進行了綜述,確定了研究方法。第二章對通貨膨脹的定義、分類、測量、成因進行闡述,其中重點從貨幣、需求、成本、結(jié)構(gòu)、消費者預期等方面介紹通貨膨脹的影響因素,,加深了對通貨膨脹的全面理解。由于各國所處的時期、經(jīng)濟環(huán)境不同,通貨膨脹的成因也不盡相同。第三章回顧了改革開放后我國歷次通貨膨脹,并分析了2010-2012年通貨膨脹的現(xiàn)狀和原因。第四章結(jié)合我國35年來的數(shù)據(jù),從GDP增長率、貨幣供應(yīng)量增長率、城鎮(zhèn)可支配收入增長率、職工平均工資增長率和匯率角度進行實證分析,筆者認為經(jīng)濟增長、貨幣供應(yīng)量增加、需求增加、成本增加、國際輸入都影響我國通貨膨脹,且貨幣供應(yīng)量增加、需求增加、成本增加是影響我國通貨膨脹的主要原因。此外美元貶值、國際大宗商品價格上漲、外商直接投資等輸入性因素也從不同程度影響著通貨膨脹。最后,從貨幣政策、財政政策、需求供給、結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、匯率、消費者預期方面對我國當前通貨膨脹提出相應(yīng)的治理對策。
[Abstract]:No matter what nature of the country, capitalism or socialism, regardless of the level of development of the country, in the development stage or the stage of development, The control of inflation has become an important issue concerned by governments and economists all over the world. All countries take the control of inflation as the long-term task and macro of economic work. International economic organizations and experts and scholars study the theory of inflation in practice, And guide the control of inflation all over the world. They have made great achievements in summing up the experience and lessons that can be used for reference. As the largest developing country in the world, China has experienced inflation problems many times in the course of the transition of the market system. If inflation cannot be effectively controlled, The fruits of reform and opening up, which have not been easy to accumulate for more than 30 years, will be seriously affected. As the wealth of the country shrinks, the pressure on the residents, enterprises and all sectors of society will increase. We are continuing to deepen the reform of the economic system. On the road of building a well-off society in an all-round way, inflation is still an unavoidable problem. In the first chapter, the background and significance of the topic are introduced, and the research results at home and abroad are summarized, and the research methods are determined. Demand, cost, structure, consumer expectations and other aspects introduce the factors that affect inflation and deepen a comprehensive understanding of inflation. Because of the period in which countries live, the economic environment is different. The causes of inflation are also different. Chapter three reviews the inflation in China since the reform and opening up, and analyzes the current situation and causes of inflation in 2010-2012. Chapter 4th combines the data of 35 years of China's growth rate of GDP. The growth rate of money supply, the growth rate of disposable income in cities and towns, the average wage growth rate of workers and the exchange rate are analyzed empirically. The author thinks that the economic growth, the increase of money supply, the increase of demand, the increase of cost, International imports all affect China's inflation, and the money supply increases, the demand increases, and the cost increases are the main reasons that affect China's inflation. In addition, the depreciation of the US dollar and the rise in international commodity prices, Foreign direct investment and other imported factors also affect inflation to varying degrees. Finally, from monetary policy, fiscal policy, demand and supply, structural adjustment, exchange rate, Consumer expectation respect to our country current inflation puts forward the corresponding management countermeasure.
【學位授予單位】:河南大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F822.5
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