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歐債危機(jī)對(duì)中國(guó)金融的影響研究

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  本文關(guān)鍵詞:歐債危機(jī)對(duì)中國(guó)金融的影響研究 出處:《東北財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


  更多相關(guān)文章: 歐債危機(jī) 中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì) 金融 影響 措施


【摘要】:當(dāng)全球還未從由美國(guó)次貸危機(jī)引起的全球金融危機(jī)的陰影中走出來(lái)之時(shí),2009年底始于希臘的歐債危機(jī)開(kāi)始引爆并迅速蔓延。歐債危機(jī)是全球金融危機(jī)由私人部門(mén)向公共部門(mén)的蔓延,有可能帶來(lái)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的第二次探底。隨著歐債危機(jī)的不斷深化,歐債危機(jī)已經(jīng)發(fā)展成為全球關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。歐洲各國(guó)政府、歐洲中央銀行和歐盟一直在就如何救助進(jìn)行商討,也陸續(xù)出臺(tái)了一系列救助措施,雖然取得一定的效果,但歐債危機(jī)前景仍然令人堪憂。在歐債危機(jī)的影響下,全球?qū)嶓w經(jīng)濟(jì)增速放緩,美、日、歐等發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體以及新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體均受到歐債危機(jī)的影響,在經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的大背景下,中國(guó)作為新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體中最大的發(fā)展中國(guó)家,金融體系受歐債危機(jī)的影響已經(jīng)逐漸顯露。因此,研究歐債危機(jī)及其對(duì)中國(guó)金融的影響具有十分重要的理論意義和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文在綜合和汲取現(xiàn)有研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上,充分考慮目前歐債危機(jī)的大背景,綜合運(yùn)用理論與實(shí)踐相結(jié)合,定性分析與定量分析相結(jié)合的方法,結(jié)合歐債危機(jī)最新的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),并建立Garch模型和VAR模型,主要側(cè)重于對(duì)我國(guó)銀行業(yè)產(chǎn)生的影響,多角度、多層次地對(duì)歐債危機(jī)對(duì)我國(guó)金融的影響進(jìn)行了比較系統(tǒng)的研究。 本文共分為五部分: 第一章,緒論。對(duì)本文的選題背景和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義、歐債危機(jī)的概念、文獻(xiàn)綜述、研究?jī)?nèi)容和研究方法以及創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)逐一介紹。 第二章,歐債危機(jī)的形成和發(fā)展。分析和闡述了歐債危機(jī)爆發(fā)的原因,歐債危機(jī)向歐洲的蔓延以及歐債危機(jī)向全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的傳導(dǎo),分析了歐債危機(jī)的現(xiàn)狀。 第三章,歐債危機(jī)對(duì)中國(guó)金融的影響。從人民幣匯率和外匯儲(chǔ)備、國(guó)際游資沖擊、銀行業(yè)等角度多層次的運(yùn)用定性分析的方法研究歐債危機(jī)對(duì)中國(guó)金融帶來(lái)的影響。 第四章,歐洲債務(wù)危機(jī)對(duì)中國(guó)金融影響的實(shí)證分析。結(jié)合上一章的分析并運(yùn)用實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)相結(jié)合的方法對(duì)歐債危機(jī)對(duì)人民幣匯率、國(guó)際資本流動(dòng)、銀行信貸狀況和銀行的流動(dòng)性進(jìn)行了實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)。 第五章,提出了中國(guó)應(yīng)對(duì)歐債危機(jī)的相關(guān)政策建議和措施。本文認(rèn)為,要加強(qiáng)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整,加快轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式;抓住海外并購(gòu)的良好機(jī)會(huì);金融危機(jī)和歐債危機(jī)為人民幣走向國(guó)際化創(chuàng)造了良好的契機(jī),應(yīng)加快推進(jìn)人民幣國(guó)際化;有效推進(jìn)人民幣匯率制度改革,保持人民幣幣值穩(wěn)定;要實(shí)現(xiàn)外匯儲(chǔ)備的多元化;擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需與穩(wěn)固外需齊頭并進(jìn);強(qiáng)化對(duì)金融機(jī)構(gòu)的監(jiān)管及金融機(jī)構(gòu)的改革。
[Abstract]:When the world is not from the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis caused by the global financial crisis to come out of the shadows at the end of 2009 began in Greece's debt crisis began to explode and spread quickly. The European debt crisis of the global financial crisis by the private sector to the public sector spread, may second with world economy. With the bottom of the afterlife the deepening of the European debt crisis, the European debt crisis has become the focus of global attention. The governments of Europe, the European Central Bank and the European Union has been in discussions on how to rescue, also has issued a series of relief measures, although have a certain effect, but the European debt crisis is still worrying prospect. The impact of the European debt the crisis, the global real economy slowdown, beautiful, day, Europe and other developed economies and emerging economies are affected by the European debt crisis, under the background of economic globalization, as a new China The largest developing country in the economy, the financial system has been gradually exposed to the impact of the European debt crisis. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the European debt crisis and its impact on China's finance.
Based on the comprehensive and draw on existing research results, considering the background of the European debt crisis at present, using a combination of theory and practice, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis method combining the related data with the debt crisis in the new, and the establishment of Garch model and VAR model, mainly focuses on the effect of of China's banking industry multi angle, a comparative study of the European debt crisis on the impact of China's financial system of multi-level.
This article is divided into five parts:
The first chapter, introduction. The background and practical significance of the topic, the concept of the European debt crisis, the literature review, the research content and research methods and the innovation point by one.
The second chapter, the formation and development of the European debt crisis, analyzes and expounds the reasons for the outbreak of the European debt crisis, the spread of the European debt crisis to Europe, and the transmission of the European debt crisis to the global economy, and analyzes the current situation of the European debt crisis.
The third chapter, the impact of European debt crisis on China's finance. From the perspective of RMB exchange rate and foreign exchange reserves, international hot money shocks and banking industry, we use qualitative analysis to study the impact of European debt crisis on China's finance.
The fourth chapter is the empirical analysis of the impact of European debt crisis on China's finance. Combined with the previous chapter's analysis and empirical test, we conduct an empirical test on the RMB exchange rate, international capital flows, bank credit and liquidity of the European debt crisis.
The fifth chapter puts forward relevant policy suggestions and measures to deal with the debt crisis in Chinese. This paper argues that to strengthen the adjustment of our economic structure, accelerate the transformation of economic growth; seize the good opportunity of overseas mergers and acquisitions; financial crisis and the European debt crisis for the internationalization of the RMB to create a good opportunity, should accelerate the internationalization of RMB; to effectively promote the reform of the RMB exchange rate system, maintain the stability of the Renminbi; to achieve diversification of foreign exchange reserves; to expand domestic demand and steady demand go hand in hand; strengthen the reform and financial supervision of financial institutions of the machine structure.

【學(xué)位授予單位】:東北財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F815;F832

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