基于灰色關聯(lián)模型的能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長的關系——以新疆為例(英文)
發(fā)布時間:2018-05-05 11:23
本文選題:能源消費 + 經(jīng)濟增長 ; 參考:《中國科學院大學學報》2017年05期
【摘要】:深入了解能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長的關系對挖掘新疆節(jié)能空間具有重要意義。基于2005—2014年新疆能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長相關數(shù)據(jù),運用灰色關聯(lián)分析,分別對新疆各產(chǎn)業(yè)能源消費和能源消費種類與經(jīng)濟增長的相關性進行實證分析。結(jié)果表明:1)不同產(chǎn)業(yè)能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長關聯(lián)程度差異顯著,其中工業(yè)與建筑業(yè)二者的能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長的關聯(lián)度相同且最大。2)在工業(yè)能源消費中,制造業(yè)能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長的關聯(lián)程度最大,且其占工業(yè)能源消費的比重最大。3)不同能源消費種類與經(jīng)濟增長的關聯(lián)度也顯著不同,其中煤炭能源消費量與經(jīng)濟增長的關聯(lián)度最高,石油能源消費量與經(jīng)濟增長的關聯(lián)度最低。這說明新疆的經(jīng)濟增長屬于要素投入型的經(jīng)濟增長方式,對能源的依賴性較強;同時,由于要考慮國家戰(zhàn)略需求,新疆的能源消費種類結(jié)構存在一定程度的不合理性。本工作基于對新疆產(chǎn)業(yè)能源消費、能源消費種類與經(jīng)濟增長的研究結(jié)論,給出相應的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Understanding the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth is of great significance to excavate energy saving space in Xinjiang. Based on the data of energy consumption and economic growth in Xinjiang from 2005 to 2014, the correlation between energy consumption and energy consumption and economic growth in various industries in Xinjiang is analyzed by using grey relational analysis. The results show that the correlation degree between energy consumption and economic growth in different industries is significantly different, and the correlation degree between energy consumption and economic growth in industry and construction industry is the same and the correlation degree between energy consumption and economic growth is the highest. The energy consumption of manufacturing industry is most closely related to economic growth, and its proportion to industrial energy consumption is the largest. 3) the correlation degree between different kinds of energy consumption and economic growth is also significantly different. The correlation degree between coal energy consumption and economic growth is the highest, and the correlation between petroleum energy consumption and economic growth is the lowest. This indicates that the economic growth of Xinjiang belongs to the mode of economic growth based on factor input, and it is strongly dependent on energy, and at the same time, the structure of energy consumption in Xinjiang has some irrationality due to the consideration of national strategic demand. Based on the conclusions of the research on industrial energy consumption, energy consumption types and economic growth in Xinjiang, the corresponding policy recommendations are given.
【作者單位】: 中國科學院新疆生態(tài)與地理研究所;中國科學院大學;新疆大學資源與環(huán)境科學學院;
【基金】:中國科學院新疆生態(tài)與地理研究所所長基金(Y475061001) 新疆財經(jīng)大學校級科研基金一般項目(2016XYB001)資助
【分類號】:F126.1;F127;F426.2
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