本文選題：CPI與PPI背離 + 財(cái)政政策��； 參考：《價(jià)格理論與實(shí)踐》2017年04期

【摘要】：自2008年國(guó)際金融危機(jī)爆發(fā)以來(lái),國(guó)際國(guó)內(nèi)環(huán)境出現(xiàn)新變化,國(guó)內(nèi)價(jià)格水平變動(dòng)也出現(xiàn)了新的特征:CPI與PPI的走勢(shì)出現(xiàn)長(zhǎng)時(shí)間的背離,達(dá)歷史新高。本文基于國(guó)際國(guó)內(nèi)現(xiàn)階段特征背景,綜合了我國(guó)宏觀貨幣政策、財(cái)政政策以及國(guó)際價(jià)格變化因素,建立VAR模型來(lái)探究我國(guó)CPI與PPI的背離原因。研究表明:國(guó)際商品價(jià)格下跌是我國(guó)現(xiàn)階段價(jià)格指數(shù)背離的主要原因;央行近年來(lái)寬松貨幣政策一定程度上加大了價(jià)格指數(shù)的背離;而財(cái)政政策的影響較小,短期內(nèi)緩和了CPI與PPI的背離,從長(zhǎng)期看其影響并不穩(wěn)定。
[Abstract]:Since the outbreak of the international financial crisis in 2008, there have been new changes in the international and domestic environment, as well as new features in the domestic price level. The trend of PPI and PPI has deviated for a long time, reaching a record high. Based on the characteristic background of international and domestic present stage, this paper synthesizes the factors of China's macro-monetary policy, fiscal policy and international price change, and establishes the VAR model to explore the reasons for the deviation between China's CPI and PPI. The research shows that the international commodity price decline is the main reason for the deviation of China's price index at the present stage; the central bank's loose monetary policy in recent years has increased the deviation of the price index to a certain extent; and the fiscal policy has little effect on it. In the short term, moderates the deviation between CPI and PPI, and its impact is unstable in the long run.
【作者單位】： 山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué);
【分類號(hào)】：F424;F726

【相似文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 喬應(yīng)平;民間投資為何難以啟動(dòng)——來(lái)自財(cái)政政策的一種解釋[J];財(cái)會(huì)研究;2000年07期

2 荊棘;“軟著陸”后的成功抉擇 “非常之舉”帶來(lái)“非常效能”──“兩會(huì)”代表、委員談積極財(cái)政政策[J];w攣胖蕓，

本文編號(hào)：1803904