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美國(guó)TPP經(jīng)濟(jì)戰(zhàn)略研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-12-08 09:37
【摘要】:TPP是泛太平洋經(jīng)濟(jì)合作伙伴關(guān)系協(xié)議的英文簡(jiǎn)稱(chēng)。最早是2005年新加坡、新西蘭、智利、文萊四國(guó)在APEC框架內(nèi)簽定的多邊自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定。其核心內(nèi)容就是成員之間彼此承諾在貨物貿(mào)易、服務(wù)貿(mào)易、知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)以及投資等領(lǐng)域相互給予優(yōu)惠并加強(qiáng)合作。TPP具有高度開(kāi)放性、全面自由以及高標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的特征。TPP最初并不為世人所知,2009年由于美國(guó)的加入而引起全球關(guān)注。全球性金融危機(jī)之后,美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)受到重創(chuàng),出口大幅度滑坡、失業(yè)率大幅攀升。與此同時(shí),東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化進(jìn)程在危機(jī)面前迅速加快,產(chǎn)生了各種經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易合作機(jī)制,如確定東亞共同體長(zhǎng)期目標(biāo)的“10+3”、已啟動(dòng)的中國(guó)—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)以及正在籌備之中的東盟“10+6”。而APEC在美國(guó)的主導(dǎo)下,發(fā)展陷入了困境,逐漸被邊緣化。在這一背景下,美國(guó)宣布加入TPP,為振興本國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)以及介入東亞地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)整合開(kāi)通了一種渠道。美國(guó)加入后積極推動(dòng)TPP的發(fā)展和擴(kuò)大,澳大利亞、秘魯、越南、馬來(lái)西亞、墨西哥、加拿大以及日本等國(guó)都先后加入。根據(jù)IMF的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)顯示,, TPP10國(guó)在2010年的GDP總量約占世界總量的35.5%,約為22.3萬(wàn)億美元,TPP也將因此成為世界最大的自貿(mào)區(qū)。 美國(guó)“高調(diào)”加入TPP并積極推動(dòng)TPP的目的一方面是為開(kāi)創(chuàng)新的貿(mào)易模式并主導(dǎo)未來(lái)的貿(mào)易規(guī)則,保持其在亞洲主導(dǎo)權(quán),另一方面也是為了擺脫全球經(jīng)濟(jì)金融危機(jī)的影響,希望借助于TPP重新介入亞太地區(qū),開(kāi)拓新市場(chǎng),為實(shí)現(xiàn)美國(guó)“國(guó)家出口計(jì)劃”創(chuàng)造條件,最終實(shí)現(xiàn)亞太經(jīng)濟(jì)自由貿(mào)易區(qū)。 美國(guó)主導(dǎo)的TPP的發(fā)展對(duì)美國(guó)和亞太地區(qū)甚至是全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展都會(huì)產(chǎn)生深遠(yuǎn)的影響。在短期內(nèi)對(duì)美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)有限,但是會(huì)對(duì)其他TPP成員國(guó)家特別是小成員國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展有益,對(duì)非TPP成員國(guó)則會(huì)產(chǎn)生負(fù)面效應(yīng)。從長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看,TPP對(duì)美國(guó)具有重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)戰(zhàn)略意義,有利于提升美國(guó)企業(yè)在國(guó)際市場(chǎng)上的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,提升美國(guó)在亞太地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)影響力,從而實(shí)現(xiàn)其在亞太經(jīng)濟(jì)中的主導(dǎo)地位。 未來(lái)美國(guó)主導(dǎo)下的TPP發(fā)展趨勢(shì)如何,TPP對(duì)世界以及亞太地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)將會(huì)產(chǎn)生怎樣的影響,特別是對(duì)作為亞太地區(qū)的中國(guó)產(chǎn)生怎樣的影響,弄清這些問(wèn)題對(duì)中國(guó)的對(duì)外貿(mào)易以及經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文在介紹TPP內(nèi)容和特點(diǎn),以及對(duì)美國(guó)加入TPP的背景的基礎(chǔ)上,重點(diǎn)分析了美國(guó)主導(dǎo)TPP的戰(zhàn)略意圖,以及美國(guó)推動(dòng)TPP的發(fā)展對(duì)其自身以及周邊亞太地區(qū)國(guó)家的經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響分析,并且對(duì)作為世界最大發(fā)展中國(guó)家的中國(guó)如何應(yīng)對(duì)TPP的發(fā)展給出建議。
[Abstract]:TPP is the abbreviation of the Pan Pacific Economic Partnership Agreement. In 2005, Singapore, New Zealand, Chile and Brunei signed multilateral free trade agreements within the framework of the APEC. At its core is the commitment of members to give each other preferences and strengthen cooperation in the areas of trade in goods, trade in services, intellectual property and investment. TPP is highly open. Full freedom and high standards. The TPP was initially unknown and attracted global attention in 2009 as a result of the United States' accession. In the wake of the global financial crisis, the U.S. economy was hit hard, exports slumped and unemployment soared. At the same time, the process of economic integration in East Asia accelerated rapidly in the face of the crisis, resulting in various mechanisms of economic and trade cooperation, such as the "103", which set the long-term objectives of the East Asian Community, China-ASEAN Free Trade area has been launched and ASEAN 10 6 is under preparation. APEC in the United States under the leadership of development into a dilemma, gradually marginalized. In this context, the entry of the United States into the TPP, provides a channel for revitalizing its own economy and intervening in the economic integration of East Asia. The United States actively promoted the development and expansion of the TPP after its accession, including Australia, Peru, Vietnam, Malaysia, Mexico, Canada and Japan. TPP10 countries accounted for about 35.5bn of the world's total GDP in 2010, or about $22.3 trillion, according to IMF data, making TPP the world's largest free trade zone. The purpose of the "high-profile" entry of the United States into the TPP and the active promotion of the TPP is, on the one hand, to create a new trade model and to dominate future trade rules, and to maintain its dominance in Asia, on the other hand, to extricate itself from the impact of the global economic and financial crisis. With the help of TPP, we hope to re-enter the Asia-Pacific region, open up new markets, create conditions for the realization of the "National Export Plan" of the United States, and finally realize the Asia-Pacific Economic Free Trade area. The development of TPP led by the United States will have a profound impact on the development of the United States, the Asia-Pacific region and even the global economy. In the short term, there is limited economic growth for the United States, but it will benefit the economies of other TPP member countries, especially small ones, and will have a negative effect on non-TPP members. In the long run, TPP is of great economic strategic significance to the United States, which is conducive to enhancing the competitiveness of American enterprises in the international market and enhancing the economic influence of the United States in the Asia-Pacific region, thus realizing its dominant position in the Asia-Pacific economy. What is the development trend of TPP under the leadership of the United States in the future? what impact will TPP have on the world and the economy of the Asia-Pacific region, especially on China, as the Asia-Pacific region? Understanding these problems is of great practical significance to China's foreign trade and economic development. On the basis of introducing the content and characteristics of TPP and the background of the United States joining in TPP, this paper emphatically analyzes the strategic intention of the United States to lead the TPP. This paper also analyzes the impact of the United States' promotion of TPP on its own economy and that of the neighboring Asia-Pacific countries, and gives some suggestions on how China, as the largest developing country in the world, can cope with the development of TPP.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F171.2

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